Blog from Roy The Boy reflecting on betting and looking at Skiing, Christmas Number 1 and I'm a Celebrity.
Apologies for the long absence, during which time a fair bit has happened in this crazy betting/gambling world of ours. Firstly the UK Government has pledged to reduce the maximum stakes on FOBT’s.
That measure is going to be as much use as a chocolate fireguard. Taking a leaf out of online poker, sick punters are simply going to multi-table (or multi-screen) losing as much money as normal by feeding two or three machines simultaneously.
Be Wise, oppose Dennis
Ten of the runners and riders for ‘I’m a Celebrity’ have been announced. Amongst them is former footballer Dennis Wise. I’ve met him a few times. Back in his playing days he took exception in the strongest possible terms when I asked him if he was a jockey. Well, at 4ft 10in and with people asking him for autographs when else could I think? Anyway, a wet sponge has more character than him and I’d rate his chances of victory somewhere between nil and none.
Fallen angels at Punchestown
Later this week, in a new initiative, Punchestown are staging an ‘Up The Yard Challenge’ race, in which 16 stable staff, aged 18 or older and who have never ridden in a race or a point-to-point, are eligible to ride.
I’m not sure what type of betting turnover this 1m 6f race is going to do but it should be like finding a needle in a haystack. Then again, if a character by the name of Angel Jacobs appears amongst the unknown the list of riders I’d suggest you get stuck in.
In case you don’t know the joke… Jacobs had his riders licence revoked in 1998 after he admitted that he was riding as a UK-based amateur under a false identity. He was, in fact, Angel Monserrate, a former professional jockey and work-rider in the United States.
A Puerto Rican national, Angel Monserrate was banned in the United States for failing a drugs test in 1995. The following year he rode as an amateur under the name of Carlos Castro but was soon exposed, so he flew to Britain where he became a successful amateur riding five winners from 21 rides under another assumed name.
I’ve had a dire few weeks betting. Old habits (chasing money) die hard and when I’ve tried to repair the damage I’ve lost heavily. A Safety Car being used in the Brazilian Grand Prix was a massive loss.
I got on all I could about Dave Ryding winning the slalom in Levi, Finland, on Sunday. Not much admittedly, but at 25/1 not much is needed. The Brit was the fastest skier in the first run and was half a second clear of the field when crashing out as the final skier of the day in the second run. I’d estimate he was 1.1 in-running at that point.
No Christmas giveaway
Alas I’m struggling to find a bet recommendation this week. I know I’d love to lay George Michael/Wham to not have the Christmas No. 1 song. A few online bookmakers have managed to grab themselves some free publicity in stating they have taken plenty of money on it happening but its only hype and if you really think about it, the likelihood of ‘Last Christmas’ becoming No. 1 at Christmas is negligible. Top-priced 7/4 with a dozen recognised online sportsbooks, Betfair’s Exchange knows best and odds of 17 is available there.