Weekly Blog – Politics, F1, Poker, eSports & SPOTY

Roy The Boy’s weekly blog looks at the next Labour leader, F1 safety, eSports, 888 Poker, World Series of Poker & SPOTY.

Over Priced Left Winger

The race to become the next leader of the Labour Party is down to four and every single firm is betting on the outcome. Shop around and you can back the outcome at a dead-even 100 percent over-round.

Third favourite Jeremy Corbyn is the candidate that takes my eye.  The 66-year-old MP for Islington North has never served on his party’s cabinet, or even shadow cabinet, but that could be viewed as a positive – he doesn’t have to defend the [bad] decisions of the last government after all.

Beyond that I know little of the left-winger apart from firms like Ladbrokes and Paddy Power are going 100/30 about him.  These companies have the best political odds-compilers for my two-pennith and so Betfred’s 5/1 offering is irresistible.

F1 Reality

There was tragic news with the passing of F1 driver Jules Bianchi nine months after his crash in Japan. This was the first F1 fatality since Ayrton Senna met his maker in 1994.

Since then there has been a host of life-ending accidents in other motorsports, most notably two-time Indy 500 winner, Dan Wheldon, the English driver who was killed in Las Vegas four years ago. His accident involved 15 cars on an oval race circuit.  Unquestionably when things go wrong on an oval banked race track they go very wrong.  It is to be expected when 20+ cars can be bumper-to-bumper at speeds of 200mph+.

Calls for more safety features in F1 are ridiculous; it is already the safest form of high-profile motorsport and it has certainly produces far less life threatening injuries and, indeed, deaths than domestic horseracing.

As for the on-track action … it is the Hungarian GP this weekend and I’m expecting a far better showing from the Red Bull cars of Daniil Kvyat and Daniel Ricciardo. The latter won this race last year.

Their car will be far happier on this high-downforce circuit, notorious for the difficulty to overtake, than it has been at the last three races and I can definitely see one of them make the top-six.  Weekly blog, bet blog, bet, blog, politics, uk,

With recent results of 9-12-6 for Kvyat and 13-10-Ret for Ricciardo, they may well give us some value this coming weekend. So I like both Ladbrokes’ standout prices of 5/2 on Kvyat and 9/4 on Ricciardo for a Top 6 Finish.


eWhat?

Anyone know the first thing about eSports? I confess I don’t but I recently got a message saying ‘DOTA2 International, Secret Team - should be long odds-on, will win’. 19/20 is currently available with 10Bet.

I ain’t got a scoobie as to what they are on about and my text reply remains unanswered. A little Google searching did turf up a recent article about eSports in the Racing Post which did prove to be an eye-opener.

Apparently betting turnover on eSports competitions can be greater than that on Formula 1 according to Betway.  I’m not certain about the worth of that statement from that firm but with several companies offering odds on the genre (including Ladbrokes and Bet365), and it being in its infancy, there could and should be some occasional value/betting opportunities.

Poker Staring 888

Bwin sold its World Poker Tour a month ago and now the rest of the company has gone – sold to 888 for $1.4 billion.

Normally the fewer number of betting operators in the market is a bad thing, as competition means value, but as Bwin were dreadful at honouring prices it is not going to hurt punters too badly.

What the coming together will do is give 888 an even stronger poker platform.  The company has resisted the urge to go ‘stand-alone’ so the people you play against on their site are not made up of a mishmash of punters playing via scores of different operators and interfaces.

This will not see them in the same league of PokerStars, who have done such a brilliant job of sucking up the worlds online poker players, but it will certainly create a ‘big two’. Again, competition is good.

November Payday?

Prices have gone up on the World Series of Poker final table, better known as the ‘November Nine’.  Coral, Ladbrokes and Betfred price-up chip leader Joseph McKeehan between 11/10 and 13/8.

The American has 63 million chips, more than twice that of Israeli player Zvi Stern (29.8 million), Neil Blumfield (22 million) and 72-year-old Belgian Pierre Neuville (21.7 million). In total seven of the ten players hold a stack in excess of 10 million.

With 180 million chips in play how can McKeehan be even a 13/8 poke? He has eight opponents to overcome after all. Back in 2002 Englishman John Shipley had an even greater advantage and he finished seventh albeit Jamie Gould did prevail in 2006 with a similar lead.

At the end of the day when two sizeable stacks clash McKeehan may well see his chip lead disappear and with five or six rivals still in contention how would your like your 13/8 chance then?

I think he is what you call a ‘lay-to-lay again’ selection!

28’s is looking good

The hysteria following England’s win in the opening test of the Ashes – is each game called a Test? I know so little about the game I’m not completely sure – saw batsman Joe Root go from 66/1 into 8/1 for the Sports Personality of the Year accolade within the space of seven days

Chris Frome, with the Tour De France in the bag, is another big mover.  He was put up here at 28/1 at the start of the month and I’m pleased to report he is now as low as 4/1 and 5/1 best.

We doubtlessly have Tony McCoy to thank for such an outstanding Sports Personality market. Horseracing’s plethora of mug-punters smashed him into a jigsaw puzzle – 2/1 to be precise – when he announced his retirement last winter and I still doubt any firm currently has him as anything other than a liability in their book.


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