Roy The Boy weekly blog with bets on Australia to win second Eurovision semi final and Davide Formolo and Sergey Firsanov to win the Giro d’Italia.
Eurovision’s Second Semi
The Eurovision Song Contest gets underway next week with semi-finals on Tuesday and Thursday. One of my fancies, Latvia, have been given a diabolical show-opening slot in the second semi.
This is as welcome as a hole in the head, as any act going on stage drawn 1-2-3 could probably earn an additional 33 percent in votes if they were to go out on stage in one of the pimp-slots, 16-17 or 18.
Nevertheless I confidently expect them to make it through to the final and it is very possible odds compilers will underestimate them when doing so, on the back of seemingly poor polling figures. In short, even better than the 33/1 that is currently available may be up for grabs on race day and I still think they are good for a top-six finish or even a top-4 which gets the each-way money home.
The best drawn of the fancied acts in the second semi are Ukraine who step out on stage 14th. But Australia, who are set to go out tenth, are a strong fancy to score the most votes here.
How the Aussies are 5/2 to win this semi while just 8/1 in the outright betting is beyond me. Just stop consider Ukraine, who are disputing semi-final favouritism, are 33/1 to win the competition outright.
Spinning the Long-Shot Wheel in the Giro
The Giro d’Italia begins on Friday and the main focus will be on the established ‘big names’ that are competing: Vincenzo Nibali, Alejandro Valverde, Mikel Landa, Rigoberto Uran et-al.
But there are far more betting opportunities than simply the ‘who will win’ outright market – there are ‘stage wins’, ‘king of the mountains’ and ‘best young rider’ to name a few.
With the race lasting three weeks I’ll probably look into some of these in depth when the race is ongoing but I’ve a few long-shots in the outright betting that are worth a fiver each-way.
Davide Formolo may only be 23 but he won a stage of this race last year when breaking away from the pack on an uphill section and riding solo for 15km. Most will presume he will be ordered to play a support role for teammate Rigoberto Uran (2013 Giro runner-up) this year but I’m not so sure and plans could well change. At Boylesports 300/1 (each-way 1-2-4 ¼ odds) he is worth a play for pennies.
Ilnur Zakarin also won a stage of this race last year but he is way too short at a top-price of 16/1 for outright honours. Instead I’ll be having a speculative ‘jacks’ on his Russian countryman Sergey Firsanov who has already landed two minor races this season and also finished fourth in the Giro del Trentino.
He is 200/1 with Coral who would surely have him in at 50’s if he was aged 23 and not 33.
This Week’s Best Bets
Australia to win Eurovision’s Second Semi-Final at 5/2 with William Hill
Davide Formolo to win the Giro d’Italia (each-way) at 300/1 with Boylesports
Sergey Firsanov to win the Giro d’Italia (each-way) at 200/1 with Coral