Weekly Blog – Belmont Stakes and Vice President Race

Roy The Boy weekly blog with bets advised on the Belmont Stakes and the Republican Vice President Race.

Aftermath Odds

A good judge once told me: “The best time to back something ante-post is in the immediate aftermath of its win in trial race or previous round of a competition.”

I’ve never really subscribed to that theory, recognising odds compilers can clearly get things wrong at this juncture but believing they are also acutely aware they will attract money for the recent winner regardless of what price they offer.  Punters are heard animals who have quick and often foolish reactions.

Nevertheless the Premier League Darts semi-final proved to be a joy to behold.  The moment Phil Taylor overcame Gary Anderson BetVictor offered 10/3 about the great champion to win the forthcoming final.  That was great news especially considering Betfair’s customers were lined-up trying to back Taylor at 3.6!

With BetVictor prepared to take a chunky bet and keeping the price in place for a good 10 minutes at a time when there was some serious liquidity on Betfair, this was a rare and sizeable Arb opportunity.

Covering Job

Jennies Jewel did connections proud when placed in Graded level during the winter and was a convincing winner when put back on the flat at the Curragh over the weekend.

She was entitled to win on form, but if the public knew what her trainer told the TV cameras just moments before the off, she would have gone off considerably shorter than her 7/4 starting price.  That’s the moment it was announced she had been covered and was, hopefully, in foal.

This early pregnancy period is a proven to see a massive performance boost in mares as their hormone levels rise dramatically.

In this modern day, when a tongue tie must be declared and the stewards informed that a horse will run without front or back shoes, it’s mad a potential pregnancy is mandatorily not flagged up.

Cash Card PPlus

Ten out of ten to Paddy Power who have launched a new ‘PPlus Cash-Card’ which allows their clients to make payments and use ATM’s with the balance taken directly from the customer’s Paddy Power account.

This is a major step forward, allowing punters to do something online bookmaking firms normally discourage  …withdraw money.

On that theme, it has to be said using BetVictor and Betfred can be like using an old version of Windows.  By that I mean to withdraw from your account you have to click the ‘deposit’ button!

Exaggerator’s Belmont

The third and final leg of America’s Triple Crown, the Belmont, is just over a fortnight away and I cannot see any reason why Preakness winner and Derby second Exaggerator will not win it.

They have found out how to beat Kentucky Derby winner Nyquist, (by taking him on early) and he’s not going to like the longer distance and the bigger galloping circuit  that Belmont Park represents.  Exaggerator will, he will love the 1m4f Belmont race distance, and is now also proven on a wet track.

Newton’s theory

I put forward a couple of kippers for the Republican Vice President Candidate last week.  This week, more pertinently the next few days, is the time to lump into Newt Gingrich I’m told by my US political guru.

At the time of writing 7/4 is available at Boylesports about Gingrich while there’s a few quid lined-up to back him at 2.72 on Betfair.

“He’s better than 50/50” says my man explaining his political experience is considered vital by the businessman to give his ticket some much needed legitimacy.

This Week’s Best Bets

Belmont Stakes                                 Exaggerator               7/4                   Hills/Bet365

Republican Vice President Race    Newt Gingrich            7/4                   Boylesports