Shane Lambert looks at the ante prices for the US Open Tennis at Flushing Meadows and he thinks 33/1 Kei Nishikori is a good price at this stage.
Kei Nishikori is one of the dangerous players heading into the 2016 French Open. In regard to his chances of winning the event, I think he has a better chance than Stan Wawrinka, the player generally considered the fourth favourite. However, Nishikori's best odds to win the French are only 25/1 with Ladbrokes. Following the results from Rome, I think the French Open market largely belongs to Novak Djokovic, Rafael Nadal, and Andy Murray. With Nishikori you might be fishing for each-way value at best (at half odds) and that makes 25/2 a tough sell for him based on his French Open history.
Japan's top player hasn't really solved Roland Garros yet and he has no significant match-wins at the event. Last year he made the quarters but he had Teymuraz Gabashvilli in the Round of 16 and a walkover in the Round of 32. In the quarters he missed a golden opportunity to make the semi-finals in losing to Jo-Wilfried Tsonga.
Nishikori's play of late is certainly head turning and it was refreshing to see him challenge Novak Djokovic in the Rome Masters. However, futures betting with the current World No. 6 should be with a focus on the 2016 US Open and the 2017 Australian Open. Those are events where Nishikori could be viewed as the third favourite, behind Djokovic and Andy Murray.
In regard to Flushing Meadows, Nishikori has the runner-up finish from 2014. Furthermore, the tournament is the Grand Slam where he first announced himself as a potential star on tour. Back in 2008, shortly after making his main-draw Grand Slam debut at the All England Club, Nishikori made the fourth round of the US Open through David Ferrer, the World No. 4 at the time. Currently Nishikori is out at 33/1 with Sportingbet to win this year's tournament at Flushing Meadows, odds that under-rate his potential.
For those that don't mind the longer-termed bets, Nishikori is out at 25/1 for the 2017 Aussie. Those are also odds that I think under-rate his chances at that Grand Slam. However, the 33/1 line is longer for the US Open and the settle date is closer. I would be surprised if Nishikori was priced that long in the weeks heading into New York's major. So, like a lot of futures betting, punters would be smart to get something on him now before there's a shortening, one that I do think is coming.
2 points each way Kei Nishikori to win the 2016 US Open at 33/1 with Sportingbet