Tweener previews Day 3 the Ladies Singles at Wimbledon and likes Luksika Kumkhum against Timea Bacsinszky and over total games in Simona Halep v Francesca Schiavone match.
Timea Bacsinszky v Luksika Kumkhum
Marcus Willis victory, ranking can be somewhat irrelevant in a tennis match. By the way, Willis was only 11-4 to beat Berankis in the first round, so it wasn’t such a big upset as the media has made out.
Main reasons for this bet are their respective form coming into this match. Bacsinszky has had only one match on grass in the past month, whereas Kumkhum has qualified into the main draw. Kumkhum has had to beat good players to get this far. Barty and King are tough players to beat on grass, which shows she is in form coming into this match whereas Bacsinszky looked rusty last week in Eastbourne v Mladenovic.
I suspect Bacsinszky will get off to a similar slow start here before gradually finding her groove; whether that will be enough against an in form qualifier is open to question to me. The price on Kumkhum is frankly insulting, this should be a very close match initially and Kumkhum is very good value to cause a minor upset.
2 points Kumkhum win 1st set at 3/1 with Betfred, Coral and Bet365
1 point Kumkhum win match at 5/1 with Betfair Sports
Simona Halep v Francesca Schiavone
I am looking forward to taking on Halep this week; she should fail soon, Keys is the most likely opponent to knock her further down the draw; nevertheless, she might face a much sterner test than the books have it. Halep game isn’t suited to the grass court, she does not possess enough weapons on this surface, along with her constant Achilles niggle, she is ripe to be taken apart.
On the face of it Schiavone isn’t the type of player to beat Halep, so since her record on grass is poor and she does not hit many winners which is no surprise given her style of play. She has lost at the first round in her last 3 years at SW19, yet she has reached the quarter final and a 4th round here before, so she knows her way round the court.
Schiavone is in the twilight of her career and this can potentially be her last match at Wimbledon; her 1st round defeat of Sevastova reads well and if she plays to her capability, this total games line should be covered. The 19.5 games line is very low on grass, especially I believe this match will be much closer than the price suggests. The game will be played from the baseline, Schiavone should be able to hold her own there and win enough games to cover the line.
It wouldn’t be the greatest surprise if Halep loses this.
1 point Over 19.5 Games at 1/1 with Skybet, Sportingbet and Betway