The Messenger has 3 bets for Saturday at Ascot and Kempton.
Ascot 2.45: Breanski
Breanski must defy a big step up in grade, but won in the style of a class horse at Doncaster last time and the handicapper only upped him 4lbs – it looked worth far more than that. He has enjoyed a new lease of life with Jedd O’Keeffe and with a drop to 7f. A fast ground specialist he too is more comfortable coming through from the back and is well worth a chance in a big money race whilst he is so progressive.
Kempton 3.15: Honey Man
Whilst a don’t like backing a shortish favourite in a big field I can readily make an exception with Honey Man in this London Mile final.
I think there is a lot of deadwood in this race – a contest where many horses qualified for this final during the winter campaign, but are not in the same form now. Honey Man however comes into this in red-hot form and remains unexposed on only his second handicap start.
He was impressive here last time when recovering from being shuffled much further back in the field than ideal early on. He flew to the front 2f out, never looking like relinquishing the lead and was arguably value for more than a ¾l win over Hakeem. A 6lb rise is fair and it looks significant that Silvestre de Sousa comes here to ride him rather than take up options elsewhere in the country.
Haydock 3.35: Reshoun
Reshoun is an unexposed horse who has achieved little in four fast ground races in 2018, but who looked most progressive last autumn. He bolted up off a mark of 86 at Doncaster on good-to-soft having run well in defeat on testing going at Leicester the time before. His poor form this season has seen his rating drop back down to 90 and that can be exploited on the different ground.
0.5pts each-way – Breanski – 2.45 Ascot at 14/1 with Paddy Power and William Hill
1pt win – Honey Man – 3.15 Kempton – at 11/4 with Paddy Power and William Hill
1pt win – Reshoun – 3.35 Haydock at 13/2 with Paddy Power