The Messenger Derby Day Preview and Epsom Best Bets

The Messenger has 3 bets at Epsom on Derby day and they start with Century Dream in the 3:10.

Epsom 3.10: Century Dream

This looks a tricky race with not too many natural front-runners in a race where racing close to the pace might pay dividends. The obvious pacesetter is Love Dreams, but his stamina might run out over the extended mile and therefore Century Dream is the one taken to pick him off.

Very progressive over trips at around a mile on soft ground, there should still be enough in juice in the ground to help him this afternoon. He won a listed race at Ascot last time despite racing alone on the near rail, not necessarily an advantage at that track currently.

He has won four of his last six starts in total and settles well enough over this trip for the usual hood he wore as a youngster to be dispensed with. This does not look a hard race for a Group 3 so I take this improving 4yo to take that step up in grade.

Epsom 5.15: Reshoun

Reshoun made an encouraging return to the track when sixth at Newmarket at the Guineas meeting on ground that had probably got quicker than ideal for him. He was an impressive 4l winner at Doncaster on his final start of 2017 on going with a bit of cut and he should cope ok with the drying ground today. Still thoroughly unexposed, he can take advantage if there is plenty of pace on as he is a very strong stayer at this distance.

Epsom 5.50: Aces

Yet another Ian Williams import is fancied in the finale with Aces.

He made a satisfactory reappearance at Ascot last month – his debut for the yard, but will no doubt be sharper for that first run in eight months. Prior to that he had shown solid form in France where he was best raced prominently – a tactic that often works well here, and he has a crucial low draw on this turning 6f track.

Prior to his spell in France he won on his racecourse debut for Charlie Hills over this 6f trip at Windsor. Clearly well regarded there, he only raced in class 1 races for Hills thereafter, but over longer trips which did not seem to suit. He was rated as high as 108, which might have been a bit optimistic, but in theory he should be thrown in off 87 today.

Recommended bets:

1.5pts win – Century Dream – 3.10 Epsom at 10/3 with Paddy Power and 10bet

1pt win – Reshoun – 5.15 Epsom at 13/2 with William Hill and 888Sport

0.75pts each-way – Aces – 5.50 Epsom at 8/1 with BetVictor