Monday Horse Racing Previews – Ludlow and Musselburgh

Teaplanter looks at Monday's racing and he has bets at Ludlow in the shape of the Nick Williams trained Saint Lino and Philip Hobbs trained Kahaleesi and a bet at Musselburgh with General Mahler in the concluding bumper.

Ludlow 2:45 - Saint Lino

This looks a moderate novice hurdle and although Saint Lino is not a horse that we have a huge amount of time for, this could be a contest that falls into his lap. The selection has shown some promise on occasions in France,where he looked in need of further than the trips of between 2 miles and 2m2f and although he showed next to nothing on his only start in the UK at Chepstown; that was in a Grade 1 and he could improve on that significantly here. He is a well bred half brother of the talented French mare Polygona and Nick Williams has his horses in better order than he had for a lot of last year. He is worth an interest here as it may not take a performance of 120 to win this and he has already attained close to that rating in some of his better efforts of last year.

Mount Haven is not robust either, but he would have appealed over a slightly shorter trip on better ground. However this looks as testing as he would want it and can be opposed. Kit Casey won a poor point to point and was fortunate to do so, with the horses all falling in front of him at the last. He might improve, but he certainly has to on that form.

The danger might be Texas Forever, who although the form of his point win is not great by any means and he was all out to win it, he did jump poorly over the final few obstacles and this halted his momentum a number of times. He could improve over hurdles now and he should see this trip out well enough.

Advised Bet:

1 point win Saint Lino at 5/1 with Bet365

bet365

Musselburgh 3:30 - General Mahler

Musselburgh is possibly not an ideal starting point for General Mahler, given that he looks like a horse that will excel over further than this 2 mile trip and a stiffer track would have been ideal for his bumper debut. However this big scopey son of Mahler looks like he could be a decent performer and he might take the beating in the contest despite not facing his ideal conditions.

After a quiet point debut at Curraheen in May, where he was behind when unseating his rider, he showed a lot more promise last time at Dromahane, when he was second to Moonman. He was in the front group over the last 4 fences, but was settled at the back of these and then as he progressed coming to the second last, a slightly slow jump stagnated his progress. It was not a major error, but he lost his position and his jockey was not overly hard on him coming to the last. He jumped the last tidily and then without being really asked too many questions, he stayed on very nicely to improve his position from 4th to 2nd under hand riding. The impression is that he could be quite some way better than he has shown and this seems to have been built into a price of £52,ooo at the sales. While he will be better over further, he is worth an interest today at the odds of 4/1.

Advised Bet:

1 point win General Mahler at 4/1 with Ladbrokes and Bet365

bet365

 

Ludlow 3:50 - Kahaleesi

Mo Chailin ran well on her track debut at Catterick at the start of December, but the form has been let down so far and I would not trust Donald McCain to keep a horse in peak form these days. She looks worth opposing with some useful newcomers likely to be facing her.

Miss Spent is very interesting given that she is a Presenting half sister to the high class Oscar Rock. However there is a suspicion that the ground might be as testing as she would want it here and we will take her on with the very nicely bred Kahaleesi from the Philip Hobbs stable. This daughter of Shirocco is from an excellent family given that their dam is a half sister to the likes of Venalmar and Rule The World. You would that she would be able to handle the ground on pedigree and her dam won on soft ground for Paul Webber. The Hobbs yard is in very good form and tends to do well at this venue and she looks a solid favourite here at 6/4.

Advised Bet:

1 point win Kahaleesi at 6/4 with William Hill, Betfred and Bet365

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