Jimmy McGinty previews Week 9 of the NFL and he likes the Eagles, Browns and Rams on the handicap and also likes the Bills with a start against Seattle.
Going with four underdogs getting the points this week with the Eagles the pick of the bunch.
The good news before we start is our NFC South and Super Bowl selection Atlanta Falcons have just had a convincing win on Thursday Night Football. It’ll take a fair collapse to lose the division and miss the playoffs from here!!
Week 8 recap – The Good: Both the Chiefs and the Saints delivered for us with a bit to spare. The Bad: The Bucs with the aid of an NFL record 200 penalty yards still couldn’t beat Oakland. The Chargers spurned too many goal-line TD changes to get within 4pts of Denver and the Falcons won but didn’t cover the 2.5pt spread. 2 out of 5.
Philadelphia Eagles at New York Giants
The Eagles lost in a great game against Dallas last weekend. It was tight and it was also a very good Cowboys team that the Eagles lost out to. They’ll have it easier this week versus the Giants.
Ok both these teams come in holding 4-3 records, but for me the Eagles are a better side. The Giants needed a defensive TD to beat an average Rams side in London, whilst the Eagles could have beaten Cowboys when last seen. They beat another top team, the Vikings, the week before that. The Eagles have a strong defensive line and will have Eli Manning under pressure all night. He’s having a poor season and with such a limited running game the Giants just don’t have an alternative plan of attack.
3pts win Philidephia Eagles +2.5pts at 20/21 with Paddy Power
Dallas Cowboys at Cleveland Browns
After talking up the Cowboys above it probably doesn’t make sense to take the 0-8 Browns against them this week. But I am. Coming off an important overtime win the Cowboys could be a little complacent/vulnerable and in my opinion the Browns have been far more competitive than their record suggests. Often leading at half-time (20-7 last week!) they really should have at least 2 or 3 wins to their name.
Dallas lost their best cornerback, Morris Claiborne, to injury last weekend. It coincides with Corey Coleman returning for the Browns. When last seen in week 2 he had over 100yds and 2 TDs. The Browns also have Terrelle Pryor so will have no problem moving the ball through the air. Jamie Collins is a very interesting addition to the Browns, he has been playing well for the Patriots and will probably have a point to prove.
2pts win Cleveland Browns +7pts at 20/21 with Ladbrokes and Sportingbet
Carolina Panthers at LA Rams
There’s a reason the Panthers were 1-5 before last week; they haven’t been playing at all well this season. Ok they dominated the Cardinals and moved to 2-5. Are they back on track? I’d lean towards No.
That Cardinals team were coming in off a short week having played a brutal overtime game against Seattle whereas the Panthers were coming in off a bye-week. Now it’s the Rams turn to come in off a bye and as a result they’ll be far fresher than Arizona are.
2pts win La Rams +3pts at 10/11 with Betfred and Stan James
Buffalo Bills at Seattle Seahawks
The Seahawks scored just 6pts against the Cardinals in week 7. They were arguably worse in week 8 when scoring only 20pts against the awful Saints defense. This included a Saints fumble returned for a score. The reason was Russell Wilson was under constant pressure from the Saints pass rush. Well the Bills own an ever better pass rush! The Seahawks may be better than the Bills but I don’t believe they can put up a score to cover a 7pt handicap. The Bills received quite a hiding last weekend but it was a revenge game for the red-hot Patriots, not many teams would’ve came out of it much better.
2pts Bills +7pts at 5/6 with Betfred and Stan James
Some of the other games:
I really wanted to keep riding the Dolphins train after dominate wins versus Pittsburgh and Buffalo but this isn’t an appealing matchup against the Jets. Miami have ran the ball really well lately but the Jets stop the run better than most. The Jets also had a horrific opening schedule so don’t be fooled into believing their as bad as their 3-5 record.
I think the Vikings will put in a big bounce back performance after an embarrassing Monday Night Football. I also think the Chiefs can destroy the Jags, as they did to the Colts and Raiders over the past two weeks. Both the Vikings and Chiefs are giving up a lot of points though so I’m happy to just watch.
If Big Ben starts I’d love some Steelers +1.5pts versus the Ravens. We won’t know until Sunday though.
The Packers have not convinced me at all this season but they really should hammer this Colts side. Bar Luck and Hilton the Colts really are brutal and now Hilton is an injury doubt.
I’ve got the Raiders wrong the last 2wks in a row so am eager to stay away entirely this week but for the sake of our season long ‘to make the playoffs’ bet I hope they defeat Denver.
The Chargers delivered for us in week 7 before narrowly letting us down in week 8. I’d still have them as a better team than their record but facing an in form Titans means I’m just watching in week 9.
The Saints should defeat San Fran in a high scoring affair on the West Coast. The 49ers haven’t covered too many spreads this season but against a bad running game they have a chance. But I certainly am not investing in this SF side.