Jimmy McGinty previews Week 3 of the NFL and he has bets on Arizona Cardinals, Washington Redskins, Oakland Raiders and San Francisco 49ers.
Week 2 recap – A successful weekend until Monday night happened; Cardinals covered, Titans and Saints too and got the overs in Colts v Broncos. Then the Bears happened, 2wks in a row they’ve burnt me.
Cardinals at Bills
Just how bad the Bills were last week was not reflected by the scoreboard. They lost by just 6pts, but the real story is that they conceded 374 yards to Ryan Fitzpatrick. The Bills defense was abysmal and but for Tyrod Taylor throwing two long touchdowns this would’ve been a hammering! Oh and the response; they sacked their offensive coordinator. The Bills just aren’t very good. In week 1 they scored just 7pts with a miserable 160yds of offense.
The talented Cardinals shredded the Bucs last Sunday. David Johnson is an electric running back (remember the Bills couldn’t stop Forte!) and Larry Fitz looks to be (still) at the top of his game. I can’t understand how the spread is just 3.5pts here, we’re talking about one of the best in the NFL against one of the worst.
5pts win Arizona Cardinals -3.5pts at 1/1 with Paddy Power
San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks
San Fran were on a short week, on the east coast, against a good side hurting from a narrow wk1 defeat… in hindsight a hammering by the Panthers was always on the cards. There was a positive however in putting 27pts past a strong defense. The 28-0 defeat on the Rams in wk1 looks better now also with the Rams after beating Seattle last Sunday.
For such a good team the Seahawks have a rancid offensive line. It’s the reason Russell Wilson is limping – he’s getting hit far too often already this season. And as a consequence of this the Seahawks have scored just 12pts and 3pts respectively this season. They give up 9.5pts here. Happy to take the weaker team with a huge number of points in what should be a low scoring affair.
2pts win San Francisco +9.5pts at 10/11 with Bet365 and William Hill
Washington Redskins at New York Giants
The Redskins were unlucky not to win in wk2. They led by 3pts in the 4th quarter when Kirk Cousins threw a very bad interception in the redzone.
This week they face a Giants team who were very fortunate to beat the Cowboys in wk1 and limped past a bad Saints team in wk2 (helped by a blocked field goal returned for a Giants TD). There are 7 teams who have started 2-0, the Giants are not one of the better ones. In fact they could easily enough be 0-2 and giving 1 or 2pts to the Skins. The 4.5pts is generous.
3pts win Redskins +4 pts at 10/11 with Paddy Power
Oakland Raiders at Tennessee Titans
I was successful with the Titans last weekend, but I’ll be the first to admit they were fortunate to win the game. The Lions had two TDs ruled out for penalties before the Titans scored on 4th down in the closing minutes.
Whilst the Titans were lucky to get the win, their week 3 opponents, the Raiders, were unlucky last weekend. With the game tied in the 4th quarter the Falcons winning TD came off a defection. Julio Jones was electric against the Raiders secondary, but the Titans have nobody like him, so the Raiders who have given up the second most points (Colts lead this) so far this season should be able to tighten up a little.
Star defender Khalil Mack has been very quiet to date this season, that won’t continue either, he’s too good not to have an impact. I’d be amazed if the Raiders aren’t a far better team than Titans when we look back in 6wks time. Take them with the points.
4pts win Raiders +1.5pts at 20/23 with Coral