NFL Week 12 – Jimmy McGinty Best Weekend Bets

Jimmy McGinty landed his Steelers handicap bet on Thanksgiving Day and he has numerous bets for the weekend action.

Week 12

Bets in six different games this weekend where I think Matt Forte will have a big outing, the Bucs will look for their tight-end regularly and the Browns could eventually win a game. Seriously, hey could! But perhaps the best bet of all is a low scoring affair in New Orleans. 

Cincinnati Bengals at Baltimore Ravens

The Bengals lost AJ Green (hamstring) and Gio Bernard (ACL) last weekend. They were already a struggling team. The leaders for Cincinnati will now be Tyler Eifert and Jeremy Hill. Unfortunately Eifert faces one of the best tight-end defences in the League and well Hill won’t be much use if the Bengals are trailing. I really see the Bengals scoring very little here. However, ignoring the Browns game, the Ravens themselves have only scored 17, 21, 16, 23 and 10 in their last five outings.

The Bengals aren’t very good and won’t score much, but the Ravens aren’t a strong team capable of punishing them. I think the spread at Ravens minus 4pts is accurate enough so am going to play on the winning margin that allows us go marginally either side of it. The total points under 40.5 should collect for multiple backers.

Advised Bet:

2pts Ravens winning margin 1-6pts at 7/2 with Stan James 

NE Patriots at NY Jets

This is a big home game for the Jets; their super bowl you could argue. They won it last year. Alan Ranch is the best run-stopper in New England, but he’s just starting a four game suspension. My immediate thought is Matt Forte should have a big outing. In addition the Jets should be competitive and thus keep using him. Forte is averaging 70yds per game and has 7 TDs in 10 starts.  That’s including a mid-season blip, his best six games average out at over 90yds. Back him to improve those stats as the Jets try hard against an understrength run D.

Advised Bet:

3pts Matt Forte yardage - Over 68.5 yards at 5/6 with Paddy Power

SF 49ers at Miami Dolphins

We collected last Sunday when the 49ers gave up a score and a big chunk of yardage to Julian Edelman. Prior to this it was fellow slot/interior receiver Larry Fitz who torched them for 130yds. Next up is Jarvis Landry of the Miami Dolphins. It certainly does help that he’s a key target man for Miami and scored last week. A few of Miami’s key blockers are out so they may not have as much success as usual in the run game (even against SF) which bodes well for Landry.

Advised Bet:

1pt Jarvis Landry Over 60.5 receiving yards at 10/11 with Skybet

1pt Jarvis Landry anytime TD at 11/8 with William Hill

Seattle Seahawks at Tampa Bay Bucs

Bucs TE Cameron Brate had little to no impact last week, but that was against the Chiefs who just wipe out all opposition tight-ends. In the two games prior to that he went for 43yds and then 84yds whilst scoring in both games. With Richard Sherman stuck to Mike Evans I expect Brate to be targeted regularly against Seattle.

Russell Wilson (& the Seahawks really) looked red-hot last week. Lockett and Baldwin will torch the Bucs miserable secondary. With Evans locked down I expect Seattle to win comfortably.

Advised Bet:

1pt Cameron Brate anytime TD at 3/1 with Skybet

LA Rams at New Orleans Saints

The Saints run defense has improved enormously recently. They held Jonathon Stewart to a miserly 31yds on 18 carries last week. The previous week it was Devontae Booker who struggled against them. I don’t like the chances of Todd Gurley doing much this week. As a result Jared Goff will be forced to make throws. He didn’t look like a stud QB last week! It’s hard to see the Rams scoring too much.

The Rams defense doesn’t need to improve however. They are immense, conceding 14, 6, 13 and 17 in their last four games. They’ll keep Brees and co in check. This has low-scoring written all over it. I’d have expected closer to a 40pt over/under total from the bookies.

Advised Bet:

3pts win under 45.5pts at 10/11 with Skybet and Betfred

NY Giants at Cleveland Browns

I really want to be against the Giants this week, and going forward, as they are not good enough to own a 7-3 record. They were trailing in Chicago last week before a whole host of injuries gave the Bears no chance. Their previous wins came by less than one score against mediocre teams like Bengals and Rams. The team struggle to protect Eli and have a miserable running game.

However this week it’s the 0-11 Browns. It’s so hard to trust the Browns not to get a hammering, but positives this week include Joe Haden on Odell Beckham, they’re at home and getting a lot of points! Gary Barnbridge could have a decent outing as the Giants are the league’s worst at defending tight-ends.

Advised Bet:

1pt win Browns +7pts at 10/11 with Skybet and Betfred

1pt Browns to win at 13/5 with William Hill

Additional Bet:

1pt Fourfold: Seahawks -6, Browns +7, unders Rams game & unders Bengals game.