Newmarket 8:10 Preview – Sagaciously

Teaplanter previews the 32 Red.com Handicap at Newmarket and believes that Sagaciously will improve a lot for her Ascot outing and will be hard to beat in this contest.

Newmarket 8:10

Sagaciously was highlighted in this column two weeks ago at Ascot and she was the subject of a lot of late support in the market, taking her price down from 12/1 to 6/1. However she was given quite a tender ride by Graham Lee and it looked very much that she needed the run to improve her.

In the end she ran an encouraging race under minimum pressure to finish 6 lengths behind the winner, despite the finishing position of 7th suggesting that she was disappointing. She had made some progress entering the straight but Graham Lee only nudged her out gently to stay on the heels of the leaders and there was a real sense that she could have been quite a bit closer if her rider wanted to give her a harder race.

The notes we made ahead of that run are repeated here;

"The quite stoutly bred daughter of Lawman made a winning debut at 50/1 last September at Leicester, but proved this was absolutely no fluke when running a very solid race on her second and most recent appearance in the Listed Montrose Stakes at Newmarket last November. She was up with the pace for much of this race, but lacked the gears to go with the leaders in the final couple of furlongs. However under hands and heels she stayed on very nicely again at the end of the race and really marked herself down as a filly to watch when she tackled longer distances at three years.

The form of the race is very solid, with Irish Rookie finishing runner up in the French 1000 Guineas and running a solid race at Royal Ascot in the Coronation Stakes, while Lady of Dubai, who was second, is a listed winner and was 3rd in the Oaks last time. While we cannot take this form as meaning that Sagaciously will immediately be up to listed level, she looked the type that would improve plenty for the winter and this trip of 12 furlongs should be well within her compass".

All of this applies with this 12 furlong contest in mind and she has been dropped 2lb for that effort last time.

The Mark Johnston trained Novancia is a big threat as she is stoutly bred and is likely to improve quite a bit now that she steps up from 10 furlongs to this 1.5 mile trip. She has entries at Goodwood next week as well, which suggests here trainer thinks she has plenty of improvement to come, given how he likes to target this meeting and as a result we will bet Sagaciously each way and without the favourite.

Advised Bets:

0.75 points each way Sagaciously at 7/1 with William Hill, Stan James and Bet365

bet365

1.5 points win Sagaciously (without Novancia) at 5/1 with William Hill.

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