Mens Downhill – Kitzbuhel Hahnenkamm preview

Roy The Boy previews Saturday's classic downhill from Kitzbuhel and believes home favourite Hannes Reichelt can win on the Hahnenkamm.

Previous winning form and home snow means Reichelt can conquer Svindall in Kitzbuhel.

There have been just two training runs for Saturday’s Men’s Downhill at Kitzbuhel; another was cancelled due to poor weather conditions.  It’s fair to say both have been inconclusive, and with skiers often using them as a scouting exercise, it is foolhardy to interpret too much from them even at the best of times.

Kjetil Jansrud won this race last season, albeit it looked at the mercy of Hannes Reichelt until he made an uncharacteristic mistake.  Reichelt a 35-year-old Austrian who won this race in 2014 is in fine form – finishing runner-up in last weekend’s Downhill in Wengen, Switzerland.

Of course Aksel Lund Svindall was his conqueror there and these two are familiar sparring partners.  Svindall may have missed last season, but he finished runner-up to Reichelt in this corresponding race in 2014.

I cannot get away from Hannes Reichelt at the prices; he is on home snow after all and he finished ahead of this weekend’s favourite, Svindall, once again when taking third here in 2013.

Kjetil Jansrud, in the absence of teammate Svindall, was in the middle of a stonking season 12 months ago, but he is not displaying the same kind of form in Downhills this year.  He currently lacks the bulk needed to worry the two main protagonists given a clean run.  I’d much prefer his chances if this were a Giant Slalom.

Christof Innerhofer and Adrian Theaux have been priced up at 3/1 and 6/1 respectively by Bet365. It’s purely based on their training times and it is also pure folly.  I’d love to lay either of that pair at double those prices.

Advised Bets

2.5 points win Hannes Reichelt at 6/1 with Bet365

1 point win Aksel Lund Svindall at 3/1 with Bet365