Roy The Boy looks at the Hungarian Grand Prix and has bets including Daniel Ricciardo and Kimi Raikkonen.
Kimi’s Ferrari is over-priced in Hungary
Hungary’s Hungaroring is often described as “Monaco without the walls”. Unsurprising really as the circuit is antiquated, meaning it is very narrow, twisty and offers no obvious overtaking opportunities. As recently as 2012 the race saw no on-track overtaking but there was plenty of changes in the starting order courtesy of differing pit stop strategies and timing.
So common sense dictates you should give the Monaco form the closest scrutiny when trying to assess both who is the most likely winner of this Sunday’s F1 race and who represents the best betting value. Red Bull aced that race at the start of the summer with Daniel Ricciardo ‘winning’ three practice sessions, qualifying and the race itself. The only thing he did not collect was the ‘fastest lap’ and that went to his teammate, Max Verstappen.
There’s no doubting Mercedes and Ferrari have a faster car on the faster more flowing circuits, but this should be Red Bull terrain and it would be foolish to oppose them on Sunday.
The course form of Ferrari’s supposed second driver, Kimi Raikkonen cannot be ignored either. Betfair are going a generous 9/4 about the Finn making the podium and that makes him an outstanding bet.
The veteran has claimed seven podium finishes this season which is remarkable in itself considering he has endured two retirements. But here’s the key stat: Raikkonen is a previous winner here and he has also claimed an additional seven podium finishes.
Stats say NO Safety Car
Only four of the last 11 races here have needed a Safety Car so the 6/5 about it not being used on Sunday looks a good price. As for the total number of finishers… that’s generally high here. There’s not been less than 16 since 2006 and seven of the last Hungarian GP have seen 17 or more cars classified as ‘finishers’.
Race Winner: Daniel Ricciardo 9/2 Paddy Power
Podium Finish: Kimmi Raikkonen 9/4 Betfair
Safety Car: Not to be used 6/5 Bet365
No. Finishers: Over 16.5+ 6/4 Bet365