Shane Lambert looks again at the Houston Astros at the All Star Break and he thinks that the 5/1 considerably underestimates their American League West chances.
It was about a month ago when I tipped the Houston Astros as an under-rated team in the ante-post for the American League Championship Series. Writing on June 7th, I suggested that odds of 22/1 with Ladbrokes were good to go for Houston to win the ALCS.
Roughly, those are now Houston's odds to win the World Series so if you got them just to win the ALCS, I think you have to be happy about the situation. Houston have been playing well for a long while now, they've faded their poor start, and people have taken notice.
As Major League Baseball heads into the All Star break, Houston sits 5.5 games back of the Texas Rangers in the American League West Division. For betting odds, the Astros are 5/1 in the division with numerous firms. Teams still have just under half of their regular season games to make improvements but if the trends are any indicator of how things will go in the future an intense pennant race might develop in the AL West.
Firstly, the Rangers have certainly hit a nosedive of late. They are just 3-7 in their last 10 and 9-11 in their last 20. When measured over the same stretches Houston are 6-4 and 15-5. Moreover, Houston have been the best team in the American League over their last 30 games, posting a 20-10 record during that time frame. Over that stretch they have climbed from 3 games below .500 to 7 games over as they now sit at 48-41.
I think the Astros are a good team to have some faith in. When I looked at them a month ago, I mentioned odds of 10/1 as ones that I didn't "totally mind" with a recommendation to keep watch on the 'stros in the division. Odds so long are gone, but I really think the Astros are going to play .600 to .620 baseball for the balance of the season and that could get them into a close race for top spot. Of course, part of the deal just isn't Houston playing well but Texas continuing to lose also. However, I think a coin-toss situation could develop here for the AL West pennant and, in such situations, it's better to have the team with the long odds than the short ones (the Rangers are an untouchable 1/10 with BetVictor at this point).
2 points win Houston Astros to win the AL West at 5/1 with BetVictor