Teaplanter looks ahead to Tuesday's racing at Lingfield and Taunton, with bets advised on Shorona and The Govaness.
Lingfield 1:20 - Shorana
This looks an interesting little maiden in that there are a couple of horses that could still prove to be quite useful, despite approaching the end of their 3rd year without a victory.
Millionaire's Row was quite prominent in the market on her only start at Sandown in April. However she was unruly before the start of the race and did not show a huge amount during the race itself. The soft ground was hardly ideal for her and she could improve a lot on that effort now that she races on this artificial surface.
However the filly that makes easily the most appeal is the Charlie Swan trained Shorana. She only had two runs for John Oxx, but showed plenty of promise on both starts, when 4th on her debut and then making Diylawa fight all the way to the line at Leopardstown in October. That effort suggested that a maiden win would be a formality and the manner in which she ran to the line suggested that a step up in trip would also suit. Despite being nicely bred, she was part of the Aga Khan stock that went to the sales last month and she was picked up by Charlie Swan for €80,000. We would be no lover of either the trainer or the jockey here, but Shorana still has plenty of potential both as a racehorse and then latter as a broodmare and with this step up to 10 furlongs looking very much in her favour, she should take an awful lot of beating in this contest.
The early 5/4 has gone, but she could be a long way better than her rivals and 1/1 still looks plenty big enough.
This race centres around Tara Point, who will be very hard to beat around this track given her front running style and fluent hurdling. She ran a blinder last time at Sandown, when she was only just hauled in by Vyta Du Roc and Shantou Bob in the closing stages of that 2.5 miles contest. The drop in trip is unlikely to be a problem and she should be very hard to beat.
However there is little in the way of value in her price and it is in the without the favourite market that we are looking for our bet. Tara Mist is a very talented mare as well, but this could be a little on the sharp side for her. She will certainly appreciate further over hurdles and she started off her novice campaign with a win over 21 furlongs at Ludlow earlier in the month. Her hurdling was far from proficient and she made a few quite serious errors, but she had enough superiority over the field to overcome these mistakes. However over this shorter trip and in a better quality field, she will not get away with a jumping display like that and despite winning bumpers over 2 miles, this will be a much sharper test than those races.
The mare we like here is The Govaness. Despite her win at Cheltenham and indeed Towcester last season, she is a mare that seems to be blessed with plenty of speed and may well be much better suited to this flat track over hurdles. She travelled very well through the race last time at Cheltenham, but tired up the hill on soft ground, to be a well beaten 4th in the end to Vyta Du Roc. She has been given plenty of time to get over those exertions though and she should be relatively fresh coming into this race. She may not be able to keep tabs with the front running Tara Point, but we would expect that she will be able to sit off the pace and can be produced by Paddy Brennan to outspeed many of her rivals. She is reasonable each way value at 8/1 with Boylesports, but we prefer to back her without Tara Point at 3/1 with William Hill.