Glorious Goodwood Day 1 preview

Teaplanter looks at the opening day of G;lorious Goodwood and has each way selections in two of the competitive handicaps.

Goodwood 1:55 - Bet365.com Handicap

Advised Bets:

1 point each way Magic Hurricane at 7/1 with William Hill and Bet365

 

 

The Glorious Goodwood meeting starts with a very competitive handicap, run over just short of 10 furlongs and it is no surprise to see a lot of the market interest surrounding the Mark Johnston trained Salutation. The trainer has won the race 3 times in the last 10 years and Salutation left a clear indication at Royal Ascot, when 2nd to Arab Spring over 12 furlongs, that he would be a force in Goodwood handicaps. He has been selected by Pricewise as well, so there is plenty of momentum behind him. However the horse that appeals to us is another that is dropping down in distance from 1.5 miles to this shorter trip.

Magic Hurricane is very lightly raced, only having one outing as a 2 year old and then two further runs in maiden company at three. However he is proving to be a very progressive performer at 4 years and after a reasonable run behind Arab Spring on his handicap debut at Doncaster, he has won off marks of 83 and 90 since then and ran his best race to date last time at Haydock, when he was 3rd to De Rigueur off a mark of 95. He travelled really strongly in this race and looked the winner coming into the final couple of furlongs, but he did not see the race out as well as some very strong stayers over the distance.

The manner of his run last time suggested that he would be very much at home over 1o furlongs in a race that would be run at a strong gallop. That scenario looks as good as guaranteed in this contest and from stall 6, we would hope that Frederik Tylicki can obtain a reasonable midfield position and then deliver Magic Hurricane off this pace in the closing stages. He is only 1lb higher than at Haydock and there is plenty of improvement to come. The James Fanshawe stable is also hitting form at the right time, with 3 winners in the past week and the 7/1 with William Hill and Bet365 looks very reasonable as an each way proposition

 

Good 3:40 - Bet365.com Summer Stakes

 

Advised Bet 1 point each way Noble Silk at 12/1 with William Hill and Bet365

 

 

This is a very competitive renewal of the Bet365 Summer Stakes and it is not surprising that the Luca Cumani trained Havana Cooler heads the market. The bookmakers do seem to be quite keen to take him on however as he is now a general 9/2 shot having been shorter than this in the ante post market. His claims are obvious, given that he is lightly raced, made such an encouraging comeback at Ascot over 12 furlongs behind Arab Spring and ran a solid race last time at Haydock, on ground that looked slower than is ideal for him. He also ran well over this trip at York last year and there could be more improvement to come from him now, with course form already in his favour after a good run here last year behind Pether's Moon off a 7lb lower mark.

However while his claims are quite strong, we are prepared to look elsewhere and there is no really solid reason, why he should reverse Haydock form with Dashing Star, who looked a little unlucky in that race, when snatched up in the closing stages and was staying on well at the end of that race, getting back up to finish ahead of Havana Cooler.

It is however another contest that we think could provide the winner of this race and that is the Northumerland Plate which was run just over a month ago at Newcastle. Big Thunder, Van Percy and Noble Silk all re-oppose here and the first two have been very popular selections today. It is the 3rd member of this trip that makes the most appeal to us at the prices however.

Noble Silk has had his resolution in a finish questioned in the past and there are some grounds for this, but it is very hard to crab his form this season and after running a solid race behind Seaside Sizzler at Kempton over 2 miles in April, he was an impressive winner at Haydock off 91 in May. Off a 4lb higher mark he was then 4th in the Northumberland Plate, finishing well ahead of both Van Percy and Big Thunder. He was settled near the back of the field by Paul Mulrennan and tried to make his move up the inside rail in the straight and was staying on strongly in the final furlong when snatched up by Ardlui. He would not have got near the winner Ange Gabrial, but he did not enjoy the run of the race and he still may have got up for 3rd, but for meeting interference in the closing stages.

This drop down in trip should not be a problem, despite the fact that he has not run over less than 2 miles since Pontefract last August. He has a solid run over this course to his name as well, as he was a staying on 2nd to Duke of Clarence over 12 furlongs here last year and he is well drawn in stall 3. The reuniting with Oisin Murphy is also a positive and while we would hope that he will be ridden more prominently today, so that he does not find himself getting outpaced as the tempo quickens in the straight, this is the only real issue that we have here and 12/1 looks a decent each way price.

 

 

Twitter