Teaplanter looks at the Pillo Hotel Handicap and believes that the Dermot Weld trained Timiyan is a potentially very well handicapped horse.
Galway 7:45 - Pillo Hotel Handicap
Among all the success that Dermot Weld has enjoyed at this festival, this is not one of the races that has delivered him numerous wins in recent years. He has saddled one winner in the past ten renewals and has supplied the beaten favourite in three of the last four years. However this season he is represented by a horse that could well prove to be very leniently treated now that he is finally racing over a distance that he should be very well suited by.
Timiyan is by Breeders Cup Classic winner Ghostzapper, out of a mare by Daylami from a stout family of the Aga Khan. He is a half brother to Timikar who won over this trip at Roscommon last year and he looks tailor made for middle distances. He has shown promise on his 3 starts to date, although his 3 runs in maidens look very much like they were with handicapping, and more particularly with Galway handicaps in mind.
He made his debut at Leopardstown on heavy ground in April, when he produced quite a promising display with a staying on 5th is less than ideal conditions over a mile. He appeared next at Tipperary, where he was prominent for a long way, but was outpaced in the straight, before staying on again close to the line under a hands and heels ride from Pat Smullen. Despite clearly shaping as though he needed further than the 9 furlongs of the Tipperary race, he was dropped to 7 furlongs for his 3rd outing and not surprisingly, he was never competitive in this Fairyhouse contest.
The handicapper allotted him a rating of 77, although there was some consultation as to whether he would be allowed to run off this rating. However he has qualified for this race and now that he steps up to 1.5 miles, he could well leave his previous performances well behind. He is bred to stay well and he gallops like a horse that wants middle distances and he could be a very well backed horse by the time they go to post on Monday evening.
This does not look an overly strong handicap and Annus Mirabilis is attracting market attention based on his win at Leopardstown last Thursday. However that form could be unreliable, especially with Hudson's Bay continuing to disappoint and his rating of 85 looks steep enough.
Primogeniture could be the main danger based on his win at Fairyhouse last time. He has been raised 5lb, but may have more improvement in him at this trip, However there is nothing in the field that is as potentially well handicapped as Timiyan and he is worth supporting at 3/1.