Blue Waltz could be a real improver at Ascot

Teaplanter has just the one selection on Sunday and he looks at the maiden on the Ascot card for his best bet.

Ascot 4:50 – Blue Waltz

Advised Bets:

0.5 points each way Blue Waltz – Ascot 4:25 at 9/2 with William Hill

1.5 points win Blue Waltz – Ascot 4:25 at 6/4 (without the favourite) with William Hill

Solar Magic is a very warm favourite for this maiden contest and it is hardly surprising, with John Gosden in such excellent form and striking yesterday with Taghrooda in the King George. The daughter of Pivotal has looked a promising filly on both her starts, with a 4th in a competitive maiden at the Craven meeting at Newmarket, followed by an excellent 3rd in a conditions race last time over this course. She was 3rd to the 92 rated Adhwaa and Evita Peron (now rated 103) and was only beaten half a length. Based on that performance, she is one of the best maidens in the country and a mid-July maiden, restricted to fillies, should really be a penalty kick for her.

However she could be taking on a very promising once raced filly from the Luca Cumani yard in the shape of Blue Waltz . This is another daughter of Pivotal, who is closely related to the high class Fantasia and ran a hugely promising race on her debut at Salisbury under Lemos De Souza. She looked a little green that day, but kept on in taking fashion under quite a tender ride from De Souza, to be beaten just over a length by Palerma. The form itself is not very strong, although more than enough to win a normal maiden at this time of year, but Blue Waltz shaped like she would improve loads for this debut and we have already seen this year that Luca Cumani is using these young and far from fully furnished jockeys on his newcomers and lightly raced horses, with a view to putting a stronger jockey on board, when he feels they have a winning chance. He is not waiting for handicaps for Blue Waltz and it might be an indication that he rates her quite highly.  Adam Kirby is in the plate today and we would expect to see a great deal of improvement from her, both as she comes on for her debut and has significantly more assistance from her pilot.

While it is still going to be a big ask to overturn the favourite, she looks a little bit of value each way at 9/2, bit our main bet is in the without the favourite market at 11/8.

 

<>William Hill

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