Sussex Cup Final Card – Sky Dogs preview

 Lyons Dean looks at the Sussex Cup Final at Hove on Tuesday and has selections in 3 of the live races.

Hove 7:34

Advised Bet

1 point win Isla's Scolari at 11/4 with Bet365 and Stan James

stanjames.com

This is a high class open contest and some of the Sussex Cup also rans bid for compensation here.

Underground Paul and Droopys Norris have the edge on the clock, but there looks to be quite a good chance of some trouble at the first bend here from their draws and if Express Master breaks as he can, this increased the chances that some of them will be held up in their runs. If either Norris or Paul can make a clean break and make the bend in front, they will be hard to catch, but that is not certain and any slight hold ups will allow Isla's Scolari to cash in.

Seamus Cahill's dog is very well drawn in 6 with little early pace to his inside and he looks almost assured of a clear run on the outside. He is obviously not the fastest away and will have to do things the hard way, but he has less than 2 lengths to find on the clock with the front two in the market and if he can turn close, then he has a very good chance of reeling them in. If they meet trouble and he turns out of the second bend almost on terms, then there is really only likely to be one winner and he appeals at 11/4. 

 Hove 8:19 

Advised Bet:

1 point win Droopys Bear at 10/1 with Ladbrokes and Betfred



Millwards Teddy is a best price of 8/13 in this contest, but he might have a problematic draw inside Droopys Bear. He is never the best away and although he has plenty of gears, the races have tended to fall his way when he has put up a big performance at this venue.

Droopys Bear looks very well drawn and if he breaks like he can, then he can lead Teddy to the bend and if that is the case, he looks to have a great chance. He was unlucky last week in that he was moving inwards and was impeded as he tried to make the bend. That will not happen if Teddy is sluggish from the traps and Droopys Bear looks every big as fast from the second bend as Billys Bullet. In these circumstances, the 10/1 with Betfred and Totesport looks very big and it is certainly the value play here.

Hove 9:19

Advised Bet

1 point win Forest Gavin at 9/2 with William Hill (Best Odds Guaranteed)

Most of the chat since the draw was made has been about just how well Exocet is housed, but he has never actually won a race from the Trap 6 box in his career, despite impressing in some trials. He seems to break better from a middle draw and despite the fact that he is drawn outside Bubbly Gold and hence looks plotted up, he is opposable.

Bubbly Gold was disappointing last week after making up the ground he lost on Cathys Clown early, but he seemed to throw the race away and he looks likely to have to do things the hard way in this contest. Cathys deserves respect and could run a huge race if he traps like he can, but despite slight concerns about how he will break from Trap 1, Forest Gavin is the call.

He has plenty of early speed and should make the bend in front of Jaytee Lightning if he traps like he can. If this is the case then, he should be very hard to reel in, with the possibility of some trouble behind and if he steals a march on Exocet, it will not be easy for the latter to peg him back. He is likely to need a repeat of the 29.66-69  times that he produced in May and June, but if he can produce a performance like this, then 9/2 looks quite a big price.

 

 

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