Tweener previews 3 of Saturday's Rugby internationals and his bets include both Georgia and France on the handicaps against Scotland and New Zealand.
Scotland v Georgia
Georgia is a growing rugby country and as they have shown in the World Cup last year, they are no pushovers. I had this match cap around -14 Scotland. Therefore I am very happy with the +27 on offer.
First and foremost Georgia will be motivated for this game; there has been numerous calls for them to be added to the 6 Nations and today is a perfect opportunity to showcase their talent.
Second - they are a forward base team who generally don't concede many points. Obviously their attack is still woeful, but 27 points is an awful lot of points.
Third - Scotland never win by big margin generally and even though they have a good teamsheet lined up, I see them winning between 10-20 points at most. It should be tight for the 1st period of game before it opens up a bit more in the 2nd more.
Given that I have mentioned both teams are not known for their try scoring, I also advise a bet on under 52.5 points as well which will be difficult to cover given one team struggle for tries.
2 points win Georgia +26 points at 10/11 with Coral
1 point win Under 51.5 points at 10/11 with Coral and Bet365
France v New Zealand
A lot of cliches are said about French rugby whenever they play; Jekyll and Hyde, French flair etc, most of which are total rubbish in my opinion, but it makes those commentators lives a lot easier if they say those lines.
France at home is always a tough place to visit and I fancy them to cover this +20 handicap. The changes made to this team are positive in my opinion. Dulin is the best attacking French full back in the Top 14 and Lopez is their best 10; getting rid of Doussain from the team is always a positive. Furthermore, they will be extra motivated for this; the humiliating defeat suffered by them will be fresh in their mind. I expect a furious backlash from them in the 1st 20 minutes.
The Kiwis are a fine team, but this is their last match of a long season for them and it follows a high intensity game last week. I believe fatigue will come into play. Ultimately they will probably score too many points for the French. Yet, there is enough in this French team to keep this match tight; they can even sneak a win, but what they must do is not fall behind very early. The main problem for me regarding France chances is the lack of a 7 in their pack but if they get enough balls, their forwards are big enough to cause problems for New Zealand.
2 points win France +20 at 1/1 with Coral, Skybet and Stan James
Wales v South Africa
The two worst teams in the last few weeks are playing each other. The Boks are simply clueless and directionless at the moment; the players are not that poor in my opinion, but the coaching and tactics leaves a lot to be desired. They simply don't know how to play the game, how to attack or create line breaks, which is scary given they are professionals.
Wales has also been poor; they also look very disorganised and clueless, mistakes after mistakes. This is a huge game for both teams and I believe it will be a nervy encounter and there will be mistakes aplenty from both sides.
The Boks will need to react somewhat after the defeat to Italy last week but I am not sure they can, given where they are at. Equally, I cannot see Wales putting them away. This match won't be pretty and the unders should be a very good bet.
1 point win UNDER 46.5 points at 5/6 with Coral and Stan James