Galway Races – Guinness Handicap Hurdle Preview

CeeBee previews the Guinness Handicap Hurdle at the Galway Races on Friday and expects a big run from the Willie Mullins trained Rupert Lamb.

17.10 Galway – 2mile Handicap Hurdle

Rupert Lamb has featured in two separate blogs this season on Betswot. He hasn’t delivered yet but mind you both Quick Jack and Shanahan’s Turn featured unsuccessfully for me this season also (yes that was a shameless plug for my Plate Hurdle double!) I haven’t lost the faith in Rupert Lamb just yet. 14 months ago he was competing at Punchestown over fences off a mark of 145. His current hurdles handicap rating is 125. Only 9yrs old he’s hardly done with yet.

I tipped him first at Punchestown as the return to 2miles and good ground looked ideal and as I mentioned his hurdles handicap mark is well below his chase best of a few years ago. He wasn’t great over a fence either, hurdles should suit better. He had got a very quiet ride on his seasonal reappearance the time before. At Punchestown he hit the front too soon but still ran a fine race to finish 7th beaten 7L. It was a decent handicap hurdle. We went in again to gain compensation at Punchestown in June but he clipped heels early and lost Ruby.

Still off the same lenient mark he went to Bellewstown next, his last run. On that occasion he got an ‘interesting ride’. My immediate thought was Ruby made a balls of it. Perhaps he was trying to win by the minimum and just got unlucky with traffic or maybe he just wasn’t trying too hard to win. It happens. Ruby seemed to almost be trying to find trouble. In what is a speedy run-in he travelled well in 6th but behind a wall of horses and left it too late to get a run, eventually finishing fast for a never nearer 3rd.  Whatever the plan was that day I immediately pencilled him in for the Galway Hurdle. Obviously his mark of 125 left him no chance of getting into that so it wouldn’t surprise if this was the plan.

The winner there Tempo Mac won again since and re-opposes here but on 10lbs worse terms. Rupert Lamb should have his measure this time.

Before the Galway Hurdle on Thursday Willie Mullins was 3 for 3 over hurdles; Max Dynamite ran well in it, some of the others didn’t but it’s still safe enough to say Willie’s hurdlers/horses are going fairly well this week.

Advised Bet:

1.5 points win Rupert Lamb at 7/1 with Betfred, Sportingbet and Skybet