Roy the Boy previews the French Grand Prix and he is all over Lewis Hamilton to start in Pole.
F1: Finding value in France
Lewis aces pole after hacking-up in P1 & P2
If you only have one bet this weekend make it Lewis Hamilton to get pole position in Saturday afternoon’s French GP. The Brit aced both practice sessions on Friday and there was a gaping chasm between him and his rivals at this new racetrack.
The Mercedes driver went fastest in the first two practice sessions five times during the 2016 season and went on to claim pole every time. He also went fastest in the opening two practice sessions five times during 2017 – going on to claim three poles afterwards (his teammate, Bottas, took the poles when he missed out). Hamilton also aced practice 1 and practice 2 in Australia at the start of the current campaign and went on to take pole thereafter.
But the gap between him and his rivals here is bigger than it has ever been (0.7sec on Friday afternoon’s session) – so the form is in the book for all to see.
Grosjean a gonner?
With Romain Grosjean scoring ‘nil points’ this season his place in the Haas team must be under question in 2019. Naturally he could do better here on home tarmac, but he could also over-try.
As no driver has retired more times than Grosjean this season there’s obvious reason to believe he could be the first car to retire from this race. Furthermore a close inspection of ‘first retirements’ shows cars starting tenth or worst are considerably more likely to find a retirement inducing first lap accident.
Hill’s will give you 11/1 about the homeboy being the first out of the race and that looks to be marginally over-priced.
Steer wide of the Safety Car
The Safety Car has been needed in four of this season’s seven races. The other three races required a Virtual Safety Car which does not count for betting purposes. Amongst those was the wall-lined Monaco which is usually a shoe-in for a full safety car.
Sunday’s venue does not have walls or barriers lining it and neither does it feature gravel traps. What it does have is huge tarmac run-off areas and these should limit the prospect of cars being stranded on the track while giving a safe haven to any flying debris such as damaged front wings. Given this it is unlikely we will see a pace car leading the field at any time.
French GP Recommended Bets
Pole Position: Lay Lewis Hamilton 4/6 William Hill
First Retirement: Romain Grosjean 11/1 William Hill
No Safety Car: 6/4 Betfair