F1 British Grand Prix Preview – Rosberg to prevail

Roy The Boy previews the British Grand Prix from Silverstone and he likes Nico Rosberg to bounce back from controversial defeat in Austrian Grand Prix.

Will the Sun Shine on Rosberg in Silverstone?

Last Sunday’s Austrian Grand Prix was an overwhelming disaster.  A massive head-scratcher of a result which means it is time to re-evaluate.

While a pair of third placed finishes for Sergio Perez’ Force India car and another third for Williams’ driver Valtteri Bottas during the current season indicate Mercedes powered cars are still in the hunt, the results in Austria confirm they are no more than bit players.

The Mercedes team clearly rule the roost.  A Mercedes driver has won every race in 2016 with the exception of Spain where both cars collided and crashed out. They won 16 of 19 races in the 2015 season with Sebastian Vettel (Ferrari) collecting the other three.  They did the same in 2014 when Daniel Ricciardo (Red Bull) won the remaining three.

In both 2015 and 2014 they tasted defeat at Hungary which is a slow-speed front runners track where overtaking is nigh impossible.  Singapore, another low speed venue has been similarly tricky for them.

But at 90 percent of the circuits it is foolhardy trying to justify opposition to a Mercedes car for the race win.  It is noteworthy that backing the Hamilton/Rosberg dual-forecast is a costly exercise in 2016. Only twice have they finished 1-2 from nine races.

Rosberg’s our man

This weekend in Silverstone a Mercedes will surely win.  And while it is easy to opt for Lewis Hamilton on the back of his victory in Austria last week, we are sticking with Nico Rosberg.

Rosberg owned last weekend, comprehensively faster than his teammate in two practice sessions.  Suspension failure scuppered his attempt at a clean sweep of practice sessions and it also wrecked his car.

Rebuilt in hours Rosberg and the mechanics performed miracles to set the second fastest qualifying time albeit he was forced to start in sixth as a penalty for replacing his gearbox.  And yet from that position the German surged to the front, led the race and was within a lap of winning it.

But form cannot be measured on just one race. Rosberg has won five races in 2016, Hamilton just three. Rosberg’s qualified first or second in 15 consecutive races and he is shooting for his ninth win from his last 13 starts.

Runner-up in the 2015 British Grand Prix, forced to retire in 2014 (on lap 28 of 52) when leading the race, and winner of the 2013 rendition, Rosberg should surely be sharing favouritism with Lewis Hamilton not trading at 9/4 when his rival is even-money.

Hamilton Health Warning

Taking form out of the equation, Hamilton has some very strong negatives to content with:  He has received two steward’s reprimands during 2016, if he gets one more it comes with an automatic 10-place grid-penalty. Similarly the next time his car has a new turbocharger or MGU-H energy recovery system installed they will give him another 10-place handicap.

There is no saying when one of these three cherries will drop but at least two of them will before the end of 2016 so backing Hamilton in any of the coming races has to come with a health warning.

Recommended Bet

Nico Rosberg to win the British Grand Prix at 9/4 with SkyBet


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