Shane Lambert looks again at the Edmonton Oilers for the Stanley Cup and feels there is plenty of juice left in the price at 66/1.
I tipped the Edmonton Oilers in the futures market for next year's Stanley Cup a couple times in June. Paddy Power, for instance, had Edmonton at 75/1 on June 24th and I felt the odds were valuable. I'm not going to regurgitate my opinions on Edmonton here, but what I would like to show is that others are catching on.
Paddy Power's odds on the Oilers are now 60/1 in Stanley Cup outrights, illustrating that the oddsmakers have been influenced by something involving Edmonton of late. Surely the Milan Lucic signing would have initiated some betting trends, perhaps causing Paddy Power to shorten their odds. Regardless, I think Edmonton's odds will shorten further in the future as it looks like some sports pundits are starting to see that Edmonton's chances of doing well next season are very real.
When the popular writers in Canada start suggesting that Edmonton are going to do well, the betting trends should start favouring the Oilers. It's very important to beat them when it comes to succeeding on futures betting.
David Staples, writing at the National Post, claimed that he had something "exuberant" to say in a July 22nd article on the topic of the Edmonton Oilers:
"If all goes well for the Oilers...Edmonton may well eventually be known far and wide for their unique ability to make scoring plays at a high speed. Indeed...the Oilers might well be the Golden State Warriors of the National Hockey League."
Bruce McCurdy, also writing at the National Post, headlined an article with the following statement:
"Edmonton Oilers’ depth chart at centre is short on experience but long on promise" (July 25th).
Betfair still have Edmonton at 75/1 to win the Stanley Cup, even while other firms are much shorter. However, BetVictor and Ladbrokes offer the each-way option at 66s, leaving 33/1 to win the Western Conference. Given how the Cups have all gone to American-based franchises since Gary Bettman's first full year on the job, you do need long odds on the Canadian-based teams. In my view, the odds are still long enough on the Oilers.
33/1 to win the west shows that punters and oddsmakers alike have no idea how good Connor McDavid is. The Oilers do need him to stay healthy and they need at least average goaltending/defense to compete. A bet on Edmonton is largely a bet on those two circumstances next season, one that punters should certainly be risking.
Everything considered, I would look for the Oilers to be 30/1 with some firms in Cup outrights by the time the regular season comes around.
2 points each way Edmonton to win Stanley Cup at 66/1 with Ladbrokes or BetVictor