Will there be a 170 checkout during this weekend’s Masters competition?
Boylesports are 11/4 about no player checking out with a 170 during this weekend’s Masters. This is the first major mistake darts odds compilers have made this year. Six previous renditions of this event have seen just two players record a perfect checkout of 170 - Raymond van Barneveld in 2017 and Michael van Gerwen in 2014. So just how can a two-from-six record make something 1/7 to happen?
OK, that is a very small sample size but the stats from other small field competitions support the theory that Boyles have got this one very wrong. Even different competition formats of the game support the case. Last year’s Premier League saw ten players contest 76 matches and there was a sum total of three 170’s recorded (around four percent of matches played). The recent World Championship played host to 95 ‘long format’ matches and just three 170 checkouts were recorded. That’s a 3.15 percent ratio and its 2.2 percent across all competitions.
The Masters will be done and dusted in just 15 games so it is very clear 11/4 about no 170’s being recorded is wrong by a proverbial mile. Just consider Bet365, who are betting on a 170 on each of the competition’s two days, have their prices set at 2/9 for a NO scenario on Day 1 and 1/7 for Day 2.