Jimmy McGinty looks ahead to the Thursday night game between the Dallas Cowboys and the Minnesota Vikings.
Dallas Cowboys at Minnesota Vikings
All season long the Vikings have been an ‘unders’ sort of team. A strong defence and poor offense generally leads to low-scoring affairs. They have scored 20pts or fewer in six straight games. After watching them on thanksgiving I now want to get on this train more than ever. The offense was the usual 13pt miserable self but their defense was very good again after a mid-season blip. In fact the defense could have got the win only Matt Stafford came up with the goods for Detroit. But he was under pressure all day.
However the key reason for the unders approach is actually the Vikings offense. Their centre Joe Berger is an injury doubt (almost definitely out with a concussion). The already struggling Sam Bradford will find it even more difficult to move the chains under severe pressure. And they won’t open too many gaps for the Vikings running back without Berger.
Xavier Rhodes is one of the best cornerbacks in the League and can limit the Cowboys best aerial threat, Dez Bryant, thus allowing the Vikings to focus a little more on stopping the other main threat, Ezekiel Elliott. Rhodes has conceded only one touchdown all season.
So despite the Cowboys being involved in numerous shoot-outs I think the Vikings set up well to hold them in this one whilst really struggling to score themselves.
3pts Game Total Points under 44.5 points at 20/23 with Coral
On the game betting itself I wouldn’t be surprised if the Vikings actually win. At home, desperately needing a win to stay in the playoff picture the game is far more important to them than the Cowboys who don’t have a huge amount to play for. Just the doubt over Joe Berger has me hesitant to back them. Now there’s reports the Vikings head coach may not be on the sideline due to surgery, this would also hamper them so no bet on the result itself.
Special Markets – First TD
The Cowboys have given up the most catches and fifth most yards to tight-ends. On thanksgiving Jordan Reed had an impressive haul of 95yds and 2 TDs against them. Kyle Rudolph should have a busy night. The Vikings TE has a TD and/or 60yds in 3 of his last 4 games including 64yds on thanksgiving. As I seen this as low-scoring I’d rather play in first touchdown market than anytime.
1pt Kyle Rudolph first TD at 12/1 with Bet365