Frazzled's Cheltenham Festival Part Two and his bets include Cause of Causes in the Kim Muir and Chooca Wocca and Jeune Et Bleue in the Mares Novice Hurdle.
This race is all about Limini and based on racecourse performance she is the best horse in the race. In addition to her efforts on the track, the reports about here home work have been sensational and she is going to be very hard to beat here. Rather than try and taken her on, we may as well ignore her for betting purposes and look for some each way value in the race.
Smart Talk has been rapidly progressive this season and brings a lofty 149 rating into this race. She might find this happening a little bit quickly for her but will be staying on well at the finish given stamina is her forte.
Chocca Wocca was very useful in bumpers last year but was very late appearing this season. She eventually turned up at Market Rasen last month and was unimpressive in beating Awesome Rosie at cramped odds. However she will come on plenty for that run and this better ground should be very much in her favour.
The other filly of interest is Jaune Et Bleue for David Dennis. She has some smart form in France for Guy Cherel at Auteuil and was particularly impressive when winning at Pau in December. She fell last time at Pau and has since been sold for what must have been a fairly hefty figure to Favourites Racing. She has plenty of pace and should be suited by the temp of this race. While winning might be a forlorn hope, she looks good value in the without markets.
1 point each way Jaune Et Bleue at 22/1 with Bet365 (w/o Limini and Smart Talk)
1 point each way Chocca Wocca at 15/2 (without Limini) with Ladbrokes
Cause of Causes has an outstanding record at the Cheltenham Festival. He sprinted clear to win the National Hunt Chase last year under Jamie Codd and he really should have won this contest two years ago under Nina Carberry when a bad mistake at the last halted his momentum just when he was coming through with a winning challenge and he was beaten 1.75 lengths by Spring Heeled. Since his win last year, he was 8th in the Grand National and his campaign this season has been clearly geared towards the Festival and the Grand National once again.
He has not been sighted in his 3 starts this season on heavy ground, but he will be a completely different proposition back on this good surface. He is off just a 2lb higher mark than when 2nd two years ago and for all the plaudits that Nina recveives, there is little doubt in my mind that Jamie Codd is an upgrade on her and anyone else when it comes to these amateur rider races at the Festival. There are some interesting rivals against him but it is very hard to see how he cannot be right there at the business end granted he puts in a decent round of jumping and he is possibly the best bet on the Thursday card.
Ben Pauling has made no secret of the regard that he holds Silvergrove in and he looks worth an each way interest as well at 14/1. He is a very good jumper and stays very well and while he has done most of his winning on easier ground, there are strong indications in his pedigree that he will be fine on this surface. He has won his last two handicap chases off marks of 124 and 130 and this needs another step forward off 138. However his trainer sees him as a Grand National horse and one with a big chance in the Bet365 Gold Cup later this season. He is likely to be prominent and try and stretch his field and he could have a lot of them in trouble as they turn into the straight. Hopefully he can grab a place behind our main Causes of Causes bet.
2.5 points each way Cause of Causes at 6/1 with Bet365 and Betfair Sports (both 1/4 odds 5 places)
0.75 points each way Silvergrove at 14/1 with Bet365, Ladbrokes and Betfair Sports (all 1/4 odds 5 places)