Ceebee Punchestown Day 2 Preview and best Bets

Ceebee previews Punchestown Day 2 and has bets including Djakadam and Kilbricken Storm.

Just a few quick scribbles on what I'm backing today. Odds right as at 7.30am.

3.40 2m5f handicap hurdle

25 runners of an average quality, this is as tough a race as you'll try and decipher this week. Saying that I'm having two bets and ignoring other races today!!

Tourboy 40/1 - Course winner on decent ground back here in May, where he beat two smart opponents. Poor after that possibly due to bad ground and/or lack of fitness off a break. Showed a little more last time behind smart novices. Lightly raced, overall form leaves him on a workable mark. First time cheekpieces might also help. Small trainer/jockey combo had a recent winner. 

Fine Theatre 20/1 - races off 122 having consistently ran to 132 ish over fences this season. Recent rain will help. Wasn't beat when slipping up in most recent handicap hurdle. This is probably his best trip so might gain compensation for that mishap.

Advised Bets:

0.5pt e/w Tourboy 40/1 - Bet365, WilliamHill

0.75pt e/w Fine Theatre 20/1 - William Hill, Paddy Power 

4.55 3m Novice Hurdle G1

Kilbricken Storm 4/1 - Having re-watched the Albert Bartlett I notched my opinion of this guy up a touch. He shot clear of a decent and big field, and stayed there, despite having to give chase to the hare. The Tizzard horses all ran well here yesterday just like they did 12mts ago. I didn't like Next Destination at Cheltenham. He ran like he was slow and would appreciate this step up to 3miles but prior to the Fez he looked to have loads of pace so that effort was very laboured (and a little puzzling) in my opinion. 

If you want an e/w bet I'd look at Jetz 12/1. He's only 1 from 8 over hurdles but always gets involved. His form behind Next Destination, Samcro and Tower Bridge is decent. Plenty of his family have won at the 3mile trip so it could be the making of him. Jessie had a great Festival here last year and from a small sample size they ran well for her yesterday.

Advised Bets:

3pts win Kilbricken Storm 4/1 - SkyBet & BetVictor

0.5pt e/w Jetz 12/1 - Betfred 

5.30 Punchestown Gold Cup 3m G1

Djakadam 7/1 - yeah I can't believe I've landed on this fella either. But hear me out. He finished ahead of four of these opponents in the Cheltenham GC. The step back to just over 3miles from 3m2f will help him. Road to Respect who did beat him will jump out to his left and give up loads of ground here. Djak was beaten a short-head by Sizing John in this last year, I'd wager a repeat of that would see him win. 2nd to Don Cossack and Carlingford Lough the two previous years (softer ground today probably suits better than those renewals) and two wins here in the G1 John Durkan shows he excels around Punchestown. Patrick was on the right one yesterday, same again please. Going each way as he's actually one of the more solid types in the race and doesn't win very often.

Advised Bet:

1pt e/w Djakadam 7/1 - Coral, Ladbrokes, Bet Victor

 

6.05 Champion Bumper 2m

Very small play on Tornado Flyer 13/2 for me. He was 3rd at Cheltenham (Blackbow & Felix Desjy behind) but the 2nd, Carefully Selected, poached a handy 4L lead at the start, he shouldn't get it again. And the winner, Relegate, seemed in trouble before flying up the hill. The flatter finish today might not suit if she gets outpaced. Tornado Flyer was free enough at Cheltenham, just his second start. There is loads of scope for improvement if he settles better. 

Advised Bet:

1pt win Tornado Flyer 13/2 - Paddy Power & SkyBet

 

6.40 2m4f Handicap Chase

There's a good few of these that are easy enough to fancy. Honourable mentions for Woodland Opera (CD winner at last year's Fez), Blast of Koeman  (solid all year in these type of races), Patricks Park (good winner at Leopardstown in Feb) and Oscar Knight (my Irish National selection who's been running well over hurdles this season). But selections are Shanahan's Turn 11/2 and Lord Scoundrel 25/1.

Shanahan's Turn is another Tizzard horse. When trained in Ireland he won a G2 novice chase over C&D. He also won a Galway Plate off 142 and races today off 136 so looks well handicapped. He ran very well to be 2nd in the ultra-competitive Topham at Aintree 2wks back and at Cheltenham before that when fading late up the hill. Time off, the move to Tizzard and a wind-op all seem to have brought about some improvement.

Lord Scoundrel is also a Galway Plate winner. 2m5f and decent ground are the requirements and he pretty much gets them here. Recent rain not ideal but it's not that soft either so he'll get away with it. He won in Galway off 145 and then raced off a mid-150s mark for 7 starts, never showing much in good company. He has now dropped to 147 and eventually did show something last time when unseating at the last behind Bellshill in Fairyhouse.

Advised Bets:

1pt e/w Shanahan's Turn 6/1 - Betfair, Boylesports or Bet365

0.75pt e/w Lord Scoundrel 25/1 - widely available

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