Lonesharkoy previews the All Ireland qualifier between Cavan and Roscommon and believes the Breffni men will be too strong for their Connacht rivals.
Cavan vs Roscommon, All Ireland SFC Qualifier
On a weekend when Cork are set to travel to Killarney for a Munster football final, a qualifier game in Breffni Park may seem like an odd place to start our previews for the weekend – yet in terms of betting, Cavan vs Roscommon is the key attraction this week.
Simply put, the bookies have got this one spectacularly wrong – Cavan should be clear favourites, not 50/50 shots.
Roscommon may have beaten Cavan in last year’s qualifiers, but in truth there is still very little between these two sides – as evidenced by the league meeting back in February, where they played out a 1-11 to 0-14 draw in Kiltoom.
Roscommon were far sharper in the full forward and full back line positions that day, but they needed to be as Cavan lorded midfield.
Send these two sides out at full strength and on a neutral venue, then the right price would probably be even money each of two – 5/6 Roscommon at the most.
However that’s not the situation here at all. Roscommon have been rattled to the core by their defeat to Sligo, all the more since the selection of Senan Kilbride that day when he was clearly injured seems to have shaken the players’ faith in John Evans. Cavan, in contrast, come into this on the back of a good showing against Monaghan and a comprehensive win.
Cavan will play at home, while above all, the team news really points us in the direction of a win for the Ulster County. Kilbride, Diarmuid Murtagh and Cathal Shine are all set to miss out due to injury and these losses won’t be easily sustained. Kilbride and Murtagh are what set this attack apart alongside Cathal Cregg, while Shine has evolved into a high class midfielder in a county where natural centrefield players are thin on the ground.
So far this year, Division Two form hasn’t exactly been made look good by championship results. Westmeath and Cavan are the only sides that have held their own while Down and Laois are already done for the summer. Roscommon are likely to join the latter group this evening.