A Max Bet for Brazil

Bully for Max in Brazil’s Fastest Lap Market

Only once this season has a driver from a team other than Ferrari, Mercedes or Red Bull stood on a podium step.  Likewise only once has a driver not representing these top three teams taken a ‘fastest lap’ accolade.  The big difference is… fastest lap setters can be found at decent prices, rarely does a race winner come from out of the top-two in the betting.

Max Verstappen was a winner last time in Mexico but he has only claimed two ‘fastest laps’ from 2018’s 19 races.  Nevertheless he is a strong fancy at a knockout 6/1 this weekend.  The Dutch driver gets the shout courtesy of him claiming the fastest lap in this race in both 2017 and 2016.

His speed at the conclusion of these races, which were run under very different weather conditions, were a result of his teams ‘contra-strategy’ which is sure to be used again on Sunday given they have little chance against Mercedes or Red Bull on raw pace at this Sau Paulo circuit with its long flat-out section.

Second Could Get Gold

Paddy Power are going 13/5 about the race winner starting from second on the grid.  It’s another price which looks ‘wrong’.  That’s because more drivers have won this race from second on the grid than from pole, seven since 2004.

Additionally many people are predicting Lewis Hamilton will gift a race win to teammate Valtteri Bottas – for services rendered during the year – here or in the season’s curtain closer in Abu Dhabi.

Lewis cannot manipulate qualifying to the extent that Bottas starts from the front and he starts second but if their car is the dominant force in Brazil (and it has been in recent years) we can expect Hamilton to start from pole and Bottas second, therein the Finn winning the race (from second) is entirely plausible.

Recommended Bets

Fastest Lap:                          Max Verstappen                   6/1       BoyleSports

Grid Position of Winner:     Second                                  13/5    Paddy Power

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