Roy The Boy's weekly blog advises a couple of bets in the UK Snooker Championship, looks at the US Presidential Race and Republican candidates, Cheltenham markets, Abu Dhabi GP and upcoming skiing events in Colorado.
Snooker’s UK Championships is underway minus the sport’s biggest attraction, Ronnie O’Sullivan. The last time ‘The Rocket’ went on the missing list like he has this year was the 2012/13 season. Ultimately he resurfaced to win the 2013 World Championship in clinical fashion.
He could be a project for next year but, for now, finding the winner of this week’s UK Champs will do. Here I cannot believe John Higgins is 14/1 with a number of firms. The Scotsman has won two of the three ranking tournaments staged this season and was most impressive when winning the second of them, the International Championship.
I’m also loving Coral’s 80/1 about Kyren Wilson who recently disposed of Judd Trump in the opening round of the Champion of Champions. There is also the small matter of his unexpected victory in the second ranking tournament of 2015, the Shanghai Masters back in September.
The up-and-coming 23-year-old is riding on the crest of a wave and at 100/1 Kyren Wilson is a definite bet-to-lay proposition.
1.5 points win John Higgins at 14/1 with Betfred and Coral
0.5 points win Kyren Wilson at 80/1 with Betfred and Coral
Trumping the US Republican race with a 100/1 bet this weekend.
Talking of bet-to-lays…
Back in January I put forward Donald Trump at 100/1. Not to become the next US President but to be the Republican candidate in the 2016 presidential election.
The men with canvas cardigans were dispatched to track me down, but ten months on Trump is into 7/2 for the candidacy role and just 8/1 to become the next U.S. President. He has never been so short in the betting and with a ten-point lead in the approval ratings over his nearest rival he could go shorter yet.
It’s Marco Rubio that heads the bookmaker’s lists with Ladbrokes offering the top-priced 6/4. Fear not we are on him too, recommended at 11/2 back in April.
Sadly things do not always go so right, rarely to be honest, but not many bet-to-lay 100/1 pokes need to be identified to make a tidy wedge.
This week I’ve got a 125/1 shot lined-up and best of all it is not a long-range project, it/he is racing in Sunday’s concluding race of the F1 season in Aby Dhabi. Check back here mid-week for more.
Conti’s Silver Lining
Amongst recent losers, at a far shorter price, was Silviniaco Conti in the Betfair Chase. Every silver lining has a cloud though and while the money was left behind last weekend, odds of 12/1 about him landing his third King George means attempting to recoup losses will be an inexpensive exercise.
I still like him as the tale of the tape shows his defeat by Cue Card was a rare reversal. I’m not convinced both Vautour and Don Cossack will be at Kempton on December 26th and I’m also predicting a cut-throat pace which will play right into the hands of Silviniaco Conti.
Hill’s Easy as 1-2-3
Sticking with horse racing… William Hill have a list of horses in a market headed ‘To Win Any Race at the Cheltenham Festival’. Immediate thoughts lead to identifying a horse which is likely to have several race options, and will run in the easiest of them.
Therein, unsurprisingly, they have Annie Power quoted at even money. Upon some consideration it has to be pointed out the only race she would conceivably start even money in is the Mares Hurdle. But can you believe she has never won at the Festival?
Anyway, while she makes no appeal, what does is Hill’s offering each-way places on their quoted horses. Finding a horse that will make the frame in a Festival race sounds a straight-forward task and, with more names likely to be added to their list, I’d recommend making regular visits to the market in the pursuit of value.
I cannot make sense of how Mikaela Shiffrin is in to 5/4 (6/4 with winner.com if you can get on) for the Woman’s World Cup Overall title. That makes her joint-favourite with our ante-post selection (at 5/2) Lindsey Vonn.
Shiffrin may have some points on the board courtesy of her second place finish in the opening race in Solden. But that course is the easiest of all the giant slaloms and I believe she will struggle to do as well in other GS’s this season.
Slalom remains her forte though and there are two of them this weekend in Aspen, Colorado. However, while this will be an ideal opportunity to open up a lead on Vonn before the Downhill and Super G specialist gets to compete in a suitable race, it must be pointed out Shiffrin only finished fifth here last year (as an even-money favourite).
Unbelievably none of her career 25 podium finishes in World Cup races have come in any Colorado resort which is amazing given it is where she was born, raised and has extensively trained.
Later in the week I’ll come up with some viable value alternatives, if there are any.