Blog – Charlotte can win Strictly and Satino looks a Diamond

Roy The Boy blog  and he has bets on Charlotte Hawkins to win Strictly Come Dancing and Satino Diamond to win the Arc.

Go Davy Go

So Davy Russell got off with no penalty of any kind after punching a horse around the back of the ear.  Ah well, he did tell the stewards he was sorry and that “he would not do it again”.  The Irish Society for the Prevention of Cruelty to Animals also took an age to break its silence on the punching episode, saying it was “appalled by the incident”.

It does beg the question as to what Russell said to the Stewards last year when getting a three day ban for repeatedly slapping a rival horse in the face with his whip at Clonmel …and the additional 14 day ban for whatever he did tell them to go do afterwards.

It’s a load of bollix - Irish stewarding that is and this cruel fist and whip happy fucker being let loose on a racecourse that is.

Strictly narrowing the field

Strictly Come Dancing is not a TV show I’ve spent too much time studying.  This year it’s gets underway in September (the 9th) and runs until December 23rd and a look through the list of previous winners makes it abundantly clear that a contestant aged 40+ should be avoided like the plague.

Year                Winner                                   Age (when winning)

2016               Ore Oduba                             31

2015               Jay McGuiness                      25

2014               Caroline Flack                       34

2013               Abbey Clancy                        27

2012               Louis Smith                            23

2011               Harry Judd                             25

2010               Kara Tointon                          27

2009               Chris Hollins                          38

2008               Tom Chambers                     31

2007               Alesha Dixon                         28

The trouble is, that theory means you should rule out Charlotte Hawkins and I fancy her, I really fancy her.  What’s more I think there is a real chance she could do well in this year’s competition.

Satono could be a Japanese Diamond

The Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe is now a month away.  While Enable looks the proverbial good thing against anything we have seen in action this season, it doesn’t mean she is unbeatable against some of those horses we have not watched.

This means Satono Diamond, a four-year-old who has earned almost £4.5 million in an eight race career and has had this race in his sights for almost a year, must be considered.

Japan has gone close in the Arc a fair few times now.  Generally all we ever know about their runners is their distinct ability; never do they fail to put up an impressive performance. It means their candidate for 2017 should be backed at a fair each-way price.

Surely no need for Safety

Given its been needed nine times from 12 races in 2017, the 8/11 about a safety car being used in this weekend’s Italian Grand Prix looks fair enough.  But, with a one in seven record at this venue (four from 13 since 2004), I much prefer the even-money available about it not being used on Sunday.  It’s actually a very strong fancy.

Recommended Bets

Charlotte Hawkins                 Strictly Come Dancing         16/1    Betway

Betway £ Boxing EN Banner

Satono Diamond                   l’Arc de Triomphe                 12/1    Boyles

No Safety Car                        Italian Grand Prix                   1/1       Bet365