Roy The Boy weekly blog has two bets which are Martin Gould to beat Mark Williams in German Masters Snooker and Dave Chisnall in Week 1 of Premier League Darts.
Unquestionably the Premier League Darts has been, or will be, covered elsewhere on the Betswot site in full. But, I have to add my two-penneth worth of wisdom which may prove helpful throughout the 15 weeks of Thursday night darts action which awaits us.
This week Dave Chisnall scoring more 180’s than his opponent, Robert Thornton, is a standout for me. It is far more of a 1/3 poke rather than the 4/5 SkyBet are offering.
The pair last met on Saturday where Chisnall scored seven 180’s Thornton hit just four. No one scored more 180’s than Chisnall in this competition last year and no matter who he is playing, ‘Chizzy’ has to be considered to favourite in any/all 180 markets right now. He is a maximum machine.
Trawling through other stats, its glaring obvious that Peter Wright needs a pair of blinkers, tongue-tie and cheekpieces. Few players find themselves in as many final game deciders as the Scotsman and his nine Premier League games last year yielded no less than four draws.
At his best ‘Snakebite’ can mix it with anyone and he is in fine form, but I’ll not be surprised to see at least two 6-6 score-lines next to his name during the course of the 2016 Betway Premier League.
Change of Manager?
I’m not going to enter the debate about how Willie Mullins’ compares to the likes of Paul Nicholls as a racehorse trainer – highlighting a remarkable demise there is discussion as to if the multiple British Champion Trainer will have a horse just placed at the forthcoming Cheltenham Festival – but I would point out that the jumps game seems to have everything to do with a good bloodstock agent not a trainers ability.
The success Rich Ricci has enjoyed with his horses in recent times is simply amazing. It is all the more impressive when you consider he is not bulk buying his horses in the same way JP McManus does or Graham Wylie did when at his pomp and associated with Howard Johnson.
There is a similar situation going on amongst the flat brigade with Sheik Mohammed using up a cheque-book every week in pursuit of owning a champion. During the past decade it has to be said his bought success has been very limited. Throw enough money at it, buy everything with a sizeable price-tag, and something is sure to turn out seems to be the policy.
A shrewd bloodstock agent and not just someone appointed to sign purchase dockets is unquestionably the key. And to clarify that… Last summer I was given word that a former French horse, Min, was worth backing at 33/1 for Cheltenham’s Supreme Novice Hurdle.
I checked it out via a former jockey friend of mine who declared that the form of his debut race was not overly strong and a horse which came out of it, Mr Mix, had been sold to Paul Nicholls and only managed to finish third in a moderate Stratford novice hurdle. He could not have this horse on his mind.
So someone did more than just look at the figures when buying Min for racing’s most powerful owner/trainer combination and how right their judgment has already been proven to be.
And so, as any football club would do, would it not make sense replacing your manager when results for the past three, five or in some cases ten seasons have been costly and fruitless?
Something is brewing at McLaren.
Around this time last year we ploughed into Jenson Button to outscore his new teammate, Fernando Alonso, in a season-long F1 match bet. It was a 3/1 winner.
In cars that were slower than a sturdy boat the driver that elected to continue to race despite being tailed off prevailed ahead of the other who frequently pulled-up when in the same hopeless position. That’s a simile.
Twelve months on and the word on the street is their Honda-powered McLaren may not be so far off the pace in 2016. Apparently their ERS flaw – that’s Energy Recovery System – which dogged them throughout 2015 has been fixed meaning they are set to benefit from an additional 223 horsepower this coming season.
There is no suggesting they will suddenly have a race winning car, but it could well be capable of top-six finishes and may be a spot of value in certain season-long outright markets once they open.
US Elections – a way of thinking
I’m loving the Republican Presidential Nominee battle in America. We have backed two, essentially the only three remain and one of our vouchers, which have 100/1 (Trump) & 11/2 (Rubio, who I believe will be America’s next President) written on them, will surely be a winner.
One quote I picked up on TV, from Bill Clinton’s former media adviser, really stuck with me: “Every year 1.5 percent of the voters die and 2.0 percent of the population comes of a voting age. So every four year cycle you have a 14 percent turnover in the electorate.”
It is random, but I love this long-term objective way of thinking especially when playing ante-post markets.
Martin on the Mark
It is the German Masters Snooker this week. This is an all-important World Ranking event, albeit a lot of the games top-names did not manage to qualify for the competition. These include John Higgins, Neil Robertson and Ronnie O’Sullivan.
If you manage to read this before Wednesday evening, I strongly fancy Martin Gould to beat Mark Williams’ in a match which starts at 7pm.
Williams’ is probably still coming to terms with his first round defeat in the World Pensioners, while Gould is riding on the crest of a wave.
Almost unnoticed the 34-year-old player has hit the best form of his career posting a string of consistent finishes this season. They include a final table appearance in the Australian Open and deep runs in the Shanghai Masters and UK Championship.
These results were no fluke as he accounted for some top players along the way. They include John Higgins, Mark Allen and Stephen Maguire. He also took Higgins to a final frame decider in the Australian Open, posting a 138 break in the process.
He may not be the better known of the pair but, put simply, Martin Gould is playing better than Mark Williams and is a monumental proposition at odds-against in their meeting.
3 points win Martin Gould to beat Mark Williams (German Snooker) at 11/8 with Paddy Power
2.5 points win Dave Chisnall to score more 180’s than Robert Thornton (Premier League Darts) at 4/5 with Skybet