Roy The Boy blog and he has bets on Un De Sceaux and also Peter Sagan in the Milan San Remo cycling classic.
Finding a Cheltenham Mudlark
William Hill are betting on the official going on the opening race of the Cheltenham Festival and they are offering 4/7 about a “good to soft” description and 7/4 about “soft”. Everything considered their 14/1 rag, “heavy” going, has to be worth a tenner.
Bottom line, it ain’t going to be rattling quick or even the “good” going which we have become accustomed to at the Festival. Months and weeks of form study can be thrown onto the roadside.
My idea of a banker bet has been completely reassessed and it is now all lumping on Un De Sceaux in the Ryanair Chase. The 2015 Arkle and 2016 Tingle Creek winner won the Ryanair Chase 12 months ago but it’s not my love for a repeat winner that is seeing me go all-in on Willie Mullins ten-year-old, it is his love for mud.
Un De Sceaux has never been beaten on going described as “soft” or “heavy” in the UK or Ireland and he has run on it a lot. All four legs are clearly working well – he has won his two starts this campaign with ease – and he has never thrown in a stinker unlike some of his more illustrious stable mates.
Than Man Sagan Again
The Milan-San Remo cycle race, for me the first real bike race of the year starts in less than a fortnight (March 17). Every time I bet on a one-day cycle race I find myself scratching my head for hours asking: “Why o’ why do I do this to myself, torture”. The things go on for hours, at no stage are you going to collect and you ultimately realise you only need to watch the last five minutes.
That was the case for me in last year’s Road World Championship where I had the whole bag of marbles on Peter Sagan. In a race that was 267km long and lasted almost six-and-a-half hours he was not sighted at any stage – apart from the last six centimetres when he stole the show. It was never worth the sweat.
Ultimately Sagan is like Tiger Woods in his early years, he keeps on winning and you have simply no idea how he does it. One notable omission from his CV is the Milan-San Remo though. He was the moral victor last year’s race, beaten by half a wheel after having to be his own lead out man, and instead of silver, he can collect gold this time. Tune in for the last five minutes.
Un De Sceaux - Ryanair Chase 11/4 with 188Bet
Peter Sagan - Milan-San Remo Cycling 11/4 with Unibet and Betway