Roy The Boy Weekly Blog and he is adding to his Quintana bet in Tour De France, likes Wesley Ward to be Top trainer at Royal Ascot and is taking on Lewis Hamilton in the European Grand Prix.
I’m back from my holidays with a fresh perspective on punting life. Things have been exceptional lately with winners aplenty on everything from Britain’s Got Talent to book prizes, but there is no end of room for improvement in the discipline stakes.
One of my holiday stop-offs was L’Alpe d’Heuz the ski resort which has an extraordinarily steep road consisting of 21 turns to reach its summit. This is, of course, home to the most famous and often decisive stage of the Tour de France.
This, along with more hilly and mountainous stages than normal, have only gone to reinforce my belief Nairo Quintana will win the 2016 Tour. After all Chris Froome is suffering from post-baby blues - that period where all sportsmen’s form dips appreciably following the birth of their first child.
That was my belief anyway until I returned home to find out Froome had actually won his third Critérium du Dauphiné, the eight stage race which is the traditional prep for Le Tour, over the weekend.
Regardless, I’m sticking with Nairo Quintana and upping my stakes now he is out to 5/2
Back in January, in this column, I suggest Coral’s 3/1 about American trainer Wesley Ward having two or more winners at Royal Ascot was something of a good thing. Now, on the eve of the big meeting, it is looking a guilt-edged investment. He fields no less than eight strongly fancied horses.
I’ve not checked out the betting on that old chestnut, the colour of the Queen’s Hat, and I cannot find the gem which is the description of Ward’s first winning stable-hand’s clothing. The form-book says ‘jeans and a t-shirt’ should be clear odds-on. But this time around I have a fancy for sandals, shorts and a sleeveless vest!
Anyway, SkyBet’s 18/1 has to be too big about Ward and his Mexican stable staff walking in enough winners to claim the ‘top trainer’ accolade at the Royal meeting. Power’s and Betfair go just 8/1 after all.
F1 makes its first visit to Baku, Azerbaijan this weekend and anyone who confidently tells you they know what is going to happen is a liar.
Street circuits are notorious for crashes though and this circuit, which looks to be long, bumpy and simply best described as a number of drag strips with a few corners in-between, is concrete barrier lined from start to finish.
One accident, even one broken down car will surely lead to the need for a safety car. These incidents can shuffle up a pack dramatically with some cars severely handicapped by the timing of their pit-stops and other benefiting by taking a pit stop (when needed) under a safety car situation.
At this juncture I’d mortgage the house on a safety car appearance if I could get any 1/2 – alas markets for that outcome are not yet formed – and I most definitely want to be a layer of Hamilton at his early quote of even-money. But maybe the best bet is Bet365’s 7/2 about there being less than 17 finishers.
This Week’s Bets
Wesley Ward to be Leading Trainer at Royal Ascot at 18/1 with Sky Bet
17 or less finishers in the European Grand Prix in Baku at 7/2 with Bet365
Lay Lewis Hamilton for the European Grand Prix in Baku at evens on Betfair