Blog – Ricciardo for F1, Asthuria for Mares, Murray for SPOTY

Roy The Boy blog and he has bets on Daniel Ricciardo to win Formula 1 World Championship, Asthuria to win Cheltenham Mares Novices Hurdle and Andy Murray for Sports Personality of the Year.

No Part of Noppert Cash-Out

Danny Noppert getting beat in the BDO Darts World Championship final was not the start to the year I was looking for.  Following a good week or two playing poker I truly lumped on the young Dutchman who cruised into the final and was 11/10 for outright glory when the decider started.

Of course this meant Glen Durrant was around 4/5.  Yes, I should have traded out my stakes at the very least but the bookmaker’s ‘Cash Out’ offers were their usual dire self and I was in no mood for punting an odds-on shot as a saver, especially as I made Noppert odds-on in the final.   In short I got it all wrong and have some gaping wounds right now.

Ricci at 4’s Looks Good

At least F1’s pre-season testing is about to get underway and new regulations could mean a lot of unexpected results and maybe the end of Mercedes domination.  The ‘non-betting experts’ seem to think that could be the case.  They are all in agreement that cars will be a massive six seconds a lap faster in 2017 and the Red Bull team will be competitive once again.

At this moment in time, with Bottas looking likely to partner Hamilton at Mercedes and at the prices, I like Red Bull’s Ricciardo best at 4/1.

All the talk is about Ricciardo’s teammate, Max Verstappen (3/1).  The youngster is clearly good at overtaking and makes racing exciting but the facts cannot lie and when you factor in his one win in 2017 should have been Ricciardo’s (beaten through being given an inferior race strategy) and compare their results you have to take the Australian who was also robbed of victory in Monaco last year.

2016 Results Verstappen vs Ricciardo as teammates:

Ricciardo:      1 win              4 seconds                  3 thirds           Total Points: 220

Verstappen: 1 win              4 seconds                  2 thirds           Total Points: 191

Wiggo a Jump Hero

Cycling legend Bradley Wiggins is reportedly doing everything right during pre-event training (in Austria) for Channel 4’s The Jump.  The show starts in February and the line-up has already been made public.

I love a sporty type for this competition and was originally siding with rugby player Jason Robinson.  After all one thing that makes you go down hills quickly in skiing is bulk and he has more than Wiggins.  However, as I recall from last year having backed Linford Christie, there are two things coloured athletes cannot do: Swim or Ski.

Wiggins is top-priced 7/2 which is very short considering some of the contests that make up the show, so I’m putting him forward as only a ‘bet for an interest’.

Asthuria Mullin’s No 1 of Five?

Willie Mullins’ Airlie Beach, unbeaten in seven starts, heads the betting for the ‘Dawn Run Mares Novice Hurdle’ at the Cheltenham Festival, she’s 4/1.  The same trainer also has Let’s Dance (7/1 at Power’s), Augusta Kate (8/1 Betfair) and Camelia de Cotte (top-priced 8/1 at Coral).

Guess what?  I’ve had word for a Mullins horse in this contest and it is none of the above! French import, Asthuria, may have just the one win from three domestic starts but she’s definitely the talking horse amongst the Mullins battalion and she should be backed with Bet365 (the only firm going 1/4 odds each-way 1-2-3) at 10/1.

SPOTY for Murray Again?

I keep promising to leave Sports Personality of the Year alone but I cannot help myself.  The books have currently got Boxer Anthony Joshua as their 3/1 favourite.  Ummm… Only two boxers have collected this award in 31 years:  Lennox Lewis in 1999 and Joe Calzaghe in 2007.  I cannot have him.

Given Andy Murray’s immeasurable and inexplicable popularity – his 2016 SPOTY award, which was his third in the past four years, came via 247,000 votes (more than twice as many as the runner-up) – I’d take him in a match bet against Joshua now.

I also think we could look back on the 9/2 which is currently available and ask ourselves “how did we miss it?”  His last two victories have been landslides and he probably only needs to win a single Grand Slam event (which is a long odds-on shot) to guarantee himself a spot in the top-three.

I also like the 33/1 about Chris Froome.  Cycling has an excellent recent SPOTY record and if Froome wins the Tour de France again this year he will be bagging a hat-trick.  That too may well be good enough for a top-3 finish which makes Coral’s 33/1 (offering each-way 1-2-3) a fantastic value bet.

Recommended Bets 

Formula 1 World Championship - Daniel Ricciardo (4/1 Hills & SkyBet)

Mares Novice Hurdle (Cheltenham Festival):    Asthuria (10/1 e/w Bet365)

Sports Personality of the Year - Andy Murray (9/2 Stan James)

Sports Personality of the Year - Chris Froome (33/1 each way with Coral)