Blog from Roy The Boy looks at the ridiculously skewed Palpable Error rule, demise of Round Robins, Betfred Grand National Trial and the forthcoming Giro D'Italia.
I’m sad to report the old chestnut which is a ‘palpable error’ is back in operation. Paddy Power is the latest place where that particular virus seems to be doing the rounds and one of their recent football coupons fell under the spell of the mind-altering illness - meaning someone in their offices was responsible for giving punters some rare but outstanding value.
Amongst the usual tat in last weekend’s coupon which features headlines like: ‘select two results from each section – get 11/1’ or ‘select six home wins – get 4/1’ was an offer of 6/1 about identifying for away winning teams.
The palpable error was the fact their coupon included four games which featured some long-long odds-on shots. In fact the combined price of the four shortest-priced away teams prevailing amounted to an accumulated price of just 9/10.
Alas the palpable error rule was soon called for and those punters believing they had got the better of the old enemy for once, were wrong.
All I’d say is, if you did place a bet on Paddy Power’s football coupon on the weekend of February 6th/7th which lost, take your slip back to Power’s and explain your bet selection involved a palpable error (you was suffering from a virus when mistakenly selecting losers) and you want your money back.
Anyone know what the downfall is with Round Robin bets? I ask that in the knowledge that Boylesports seems to be the only betting firm which offers them as a bet option, when you place three selections into an online betting slip.
Singles, doubles, trebles, Patents and Trixies are no problem but as Round Robins (and their four selection counterpart a Flag) are not on offer; they must represent a bad proposition for the layers?
To think of it I’ve not placed one myself since I was about 14 and used to chain my BMX to the lamppost outside the independent bookmakers in my local village.
Anyway, a Round Robin is a three selection wager consisting of 10 bets: Three doubles, a treble, three up-and-down singles and three single stakes about pairs.
What’s an ‘up-and-down’ bet I hear you ask? It is a two part bet which is conditional on there being enough winnings from the first part to fund the second. It is often referred to as an ‘any-to-come’ bet meaning that each part of the bet only proceeds if there is cash from left over from the previous part.
If you’re confused already I think I might have the reason as to why Round Robin’s have disappeared off of bookmakers and punters radars.
Rain will be Mountainous
It’s the Betfred Grand National Trial at Haydock on Saturday and the money, like the rain, has been pouring in/down for dual Welsh National winner Mountainous.
There cannot be enough rain for this horse which has only won four chases all of which were raced on ground officially described as heavy.
Having slipped down to an official rating of 132 (from a high of 144) the 11-year-old was entitled to win his second Welsh National at the turn of the year. He’ll run off of 142 on Saturday so victory, on a turf course that promises to be hock-deep in mud, is more than feasible.
My original fancy for the race was the Alan King-trained Sego Success. The 8-year-old only got to the second fence when falling last time at Warwick meaning his mark of 146 remains unchanged.
Prior to that fall Sego Success made all and found plenty when winning impressively at Doncaster. It may not be this weekend, but I fancy this one has a big handicap in him sometime soon.
Oh, the last horse to win this Grand National Trial and go on to win the big race at Aintree? Party Politics in 1993. It is not a good form pointer to the great race.
Landa some 5/1 in Giro
Cycling is back on the box and the major races of 2016 will be upon us before we know it.
The Tour de France market has Froome, Qunitana and Contador all priced at 5/1 or shorter. That basically confirms that none of this trio will be competing in the Giro d’Italia beforehand. It is the race that Contador won in 2015.
And so who does win the Giro then? I cannot say for sure, but Mikel Landa is definitely over-priced at 5/1 with Betfair, Powers and Boyles. The Spaniard finished third in this tour last year, winning two stages.
What the simple facts do not explain is what an achievement third really was as his role, for the most part, was to play soldier boy to his team-mate Fabio Aru (who finished second overall) in the Astana team.
Mikel Landa has now joined the all-powerful SKY team and he is most probably going to head to Italy as the team’s No. 1. With a strong team, like SKY, behind him the 26-year-old could prove to be formidable and this awesome mountain climber has to be backed at 5/1.
This Week’s Bets
Betfred Grand National Trial at Haydock Mountainous at 7/1 with Skybet
Giro d’Italia - Mikel Landa at 5/1 with Boylesports and Betfair Sports