Blog – Monaco Grand Prix and Lookin at Lee in Belmont Stakes

Blog from Roy The Boy with bets on the Monaco Grand Prix and the Belmont Stakes.

English Jockey, French Prize-Money and Lynch Tally

It was great to see and British jockey, James Reveley, claim the Grand Steeple-Chase de Paris on Sunday.  The winner’s purse for this race was €535,500 which, at this week’s exchange rate, makes it worth a grand less than the Cheltenham Gold Cup which has a £327,462 first prize.

However, the French race has far better place money such as c£65,000 for fourth as opposed to c£30,000 at Cheltenham and c£25,000 for sixth opposed to c£7,700.  At Auteuil there’s £18k for seventh while there is no seventh-place prize at Prestbury Park.

It does beg the question as to why there were no British or Irish runners in this year’s Grand Steeple-Chase de Paris a race which had a lot of deadwood in it, underlined by seven of its 15 runners starting at 20/1+ and five runners being pulled-up.

Anyway, talking of Gold Cup winners and big bucks, jockey Andrew Lynch must be ruing his loss of contract with Ann and Alan Potts a few seasons back.  Not only could he have ridden this year’s Gold Cup winner he would have surely claimed more than the €139.375 in prize-money his 15 winning rides accumulated in Ireland last season.

It’s pretty poor stuff, he earned four times this sum the prior season and he would have amassed something similar if finishing third in the Grand Steeple-Chase de Paris! 

An all-day affair

Remaining with horse racing… The Preakness was a major disappointment for Kentucky Derby winner Always Dreaming and his supporters, myself included.  He was clearly softened-up by Derby fourth Classic Empire but he still dropped away to nothing while that rival finished second beaten just a head.

Anyway, what struck me about Pimlico on Saturday was the 14 race card.  Yes 14 races which saw the race day strung out over nine hours.  Us European’s want to get big meetings done and dusted in six or seven races and certainly no longer than three-and-a-half hours.

Get ‘em in, sell them lunch and get them out again.  That’s seems to be our take on it while the American’s see a major race day as an opportunity to more than double their on-course betting ‘handle’ while serving up breakfast, dinner and lunch.

Lookin’ at Lee

It’s the Belmont Stakes next which, at 1m-4f, is a veritable marathon by American standards. I’m already interested in ‘Lookin at Lee’ for this final leg of the Triple Crown.

The Steve Asmussen trained horse has only have a maiden win to show for nine racecourse appearances and has finished behind Classic Empire four times (second in the Futurity, fourth in the Breeder’s Cup Juvenile, third in the Arkansas Derby and fourth in the Preakness). But he was runner-up in the Kentucky Derby and has given his rivals an enormous head-start in the two legs of the Triple Crown to date.

Ridden closer to the pace this son of Smart Strike (who has a 10.1f stamina index) can surely stake a serious claim to the ‘Run For the Carnations’ on June 10th.

Slow cars can go fastest in Monaco

It’s the Monaco Grand Prix this weekend where just two of last 15 winners (or pole setters) have recorded the fastest lap - and there have been some outrageous upsets too.

The reasoning is simple, no driver is ever prepared to forfeit their position by stopping for a fresh set of boots in the latter part of the race regardless of them being sat in the middle of a 10 car impassable snail-trail.  Such a manoeuvre will see them fall out of the points paying positions.

So, the driver that does stop for fresh tyres 80 percent (and beyond) into the race and re-emerges from the pits with an empty track before him (and given an empty petrol tank) will get the ‘fastest lap’ - job done.

OK, it’s an inexact science but it opens the door for value so I’m taking a number of long-shots in the belief those with faster cars will be stuck in the aforementioned congestion.

Recommended Bets

Belmont Stakes -   Lookin at Lee at 5/1 with Paddy Power and Betfair Sports

Monaco GP Fastest Lap

Sergio Perez  at 100/1 with BetVictor

Carlos Sainz at 100/1 with BetVictor

Esteban Ocon at 150/1 with BetFred and BetVictor

Nico Hulkenberg at 200/1 with William Hill

Felipe Massa at 200/1 with SkyBet

Jensen Button at 300/1 with Betfred