Blog – Hamilton to win Russian Grand Prix – 1000 Guineas Preview

Roy The Boy Blog with bets on Lewis Hamilton to win the Russian Grand Prix and laying Rhododendron in the 1000 Guineas.

Sochi will be Mercedes territory

The next F1 Grand Prix may be almost a fortnight away but there is no harm in planning ahead.  It is in Russia and staged at a relatively new circuit which circles the Olympic Park used for the Sochi Winter Games of 2014.

Sochi is a street circuit in essence with plenty of slow corners but it does have some fast sections.  However its pristine surface is largely devoid of the bumps, gradient or camber which make true street courses challenging.  Furthermore it is remarkably kind on tyres and will not feature extreme air temperatures.

And so, while Sebastian Vettel was a righteous winner in Australia, the moral victor in China and deserved winner in Bahrain, Lewis Hamilton is the far more likely race winner on April 30th because tyre-wear, which is magnified by high temperatures, appears to be something of an Achilles heel for Mercedes.

Lots of Airplanes at Gigginstown

How mad is Michael O’Leary?  His airline, Ryanair, has 300 planes in its fleet and, while I cannot find a way of verifying it, I’d guess the CEO owns a similar number of racehorses.

Given they all race in the same country, apart from some rare exceptions such as the Cheltenham and Aintree Festivals, any success they achieve has to be tempered by those accusing his Gigginstown House stud organisation of simply buying success through weight of numbers.  I have to say I much prefer the Rich Ricci way of doing things:  Class and quality without the quantity.

Are you laying bets or screaming foul?

Betfred wouldn’t take a £100 bet from me on Sebastian Vettel winning the Bahraini Grand Prix last Sunday.  He was only 7/2.  Bitching about this behaviour will get us nowhere but it needs to be highlighted and online bookmakers need to be regulated to an extent whereby they must lay a bet for a minimum sum/loss if they are to advertise that price.  It will surely be forced upon them one day.

Despite the all-important scenes having doubtlessly been filmed SkyBet have priced-up a market on ‘who pushed Ken Barlow’ in Coronation Street and they are accepting bets on the market which are comparable, stakes wise, to Betfred’s F1’s limits.

It is surprising really as a well-orchestrated 2015 PR offensive saw Ladbrokes tip off the Sun newspaper that they had taken over 500 bets on one candidate in TV’s pre-recorded Great British Bake-Off and they were, according to Ladbrokes, set to lose £10,000 due to ‘insider information’.

Rhododendron won’t bloom over 8 furlongs will she?

I’ve just started the full analysis of one of my favourite races, the 1000 Guineas.  What better time with some key Guineas trials in Newmarket this week?  I have to say I don’t like Rhododendron who is the 11/4 favourite and the only runner trading at single figures.

She may be out of the Irish 1000 Guineas winner ‘Halfway to Heaven’ by Galileo but her three full brothers and sisters have been pretty ordinary and one ended up running over 3-miles over hurdles amongst some moderate company.

Clearly Rhododendron is talented – as winning a Group 2 and Group 1 as a two-year-old underlines – but she is surely going to be more of a 12-furlong horse in her three-year-old classic season and so I’m a layer in the 1000 Guineas.

Recommended Bets

Russian Grand Prix Race Winner - : Lewis Hamilton at 6/5 with Coral and Ladbrokes

Lay: Rhododendron in 1000 Guineas                                         4.0                   Betfair

 

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