Roy The Boy weekly blog takes a look at the complete that is bookmaker bonus offers, looks at The Jump, Premier League Darts and also has a bet in the Snooker shootout and in the Grammys song of the year.
Out of Order Offers
What are the Promotion Managers at some of the online bookmakers thinking? Their offers are clearly eye-catching, but when you prove someone to be a sucker just the once, they will be full of resentment and will not be made fools of a second time.
Most probably, from a punter’s viewpoint, the conceived all-important bond of trust will have been broken and they will move on to pastures new.
Let me give you an example. On the eve of the Superbowl BetVictor came up with a headline promotion “Place a £25 bet on the Superbowl and get a £50 Casino bonus”.
Of course a free £50 for placing a £25 bet has to be too good to be true, such offers always are. But just how bad is the truth behind the headline?
The small-print: £50 is indeed put into your online casino account but it must be bet (turned-over) 35x times before any winning can be withdrawn. So, you must turn-over your £50 to the tune of £1,750 before anything can be taken in real cash.
But wait, there’s more. This turnover only counts if you are playing Slot Machines or Scratch-Cards. If you play half-sensible games such as Blackjack your ‘action’ will only count as 20 percent of the 35x times wagering requirement, meaning you will need to push your £50 (or any part of it) over the line until your wagers total £8,750. Some chance, some offer!
I am not deliberately pointing the finger at BetVictor here, a company who I have the utmost respect for. They do, consistently, offer a fair bet at a fair price.
So, to be fair, let’s also look at Unibet’s new customer offer. ‘A 50 Percent Risk Free Bet’ is how it is showcased.
Here’s the highlights:
- If your first bet wins there is NO bonus.
- If your first bet loses you will be refunded half your losses capped at €15.
- You must gamble that €15 15x times before it can be withdrawn as winnings – that’s €225 in bets must be placed. As an added obstruction any bets on a selection priced less than 2/5 will not count towards the requisite €225.
- Should you choose to play casino games with the €15 you have been refunded you will need to turnover that money 25x times (€375) before withdrawing.
Seriously, could any other business advertise these types of offers given the severity of the small print/criteria? I think not.
Stand by your Twitter
I hope you got a good old squeeze out of Scotty T winning Celebrity Big Brother. His victory means any/every contestant that has entered Celebrity Big Brother or I’m a Celebrity Get Me Out of Here, which has been spawned by the enigma which is Geordie Shore, has won.
We still have Linford Christie going for us in Channel 4’s The Jump – we really should have after just two weeks – and he has only come in a few points from the advised 14/1.
All being well I’ll be on the same Innsbruck slopes as The Jump’s contestants next week so keep your eyes on the @Betswot Twitter feed because the moment I pick up on a single contestant taking a series ending tumble I’ll be relaying the news with instructions to ‘hit the lay button’.
Chizzy’s a Cash Cow
As with Scotty T in Big Brother, I hope you also waded in to last week’s pair of recommended bets. Martin Gould actually won the German Masters so he really was a good bet against Mark Williams in the opening round of that competition at 11/8.
Dave ‘Chizzy’ Chisnall destroyed Robert Thornton in the first week of Betway Premier League Darts and duly scored more 180’s than his rival. I firmly believe Chizzy will continue to pay you off week-on-week in the 180’s market and I’m going to back him to beat any/every opponent in this market henceforth. He could well be a cash-cow akin to Annie Power or Faugheen. That pair are currently on an amazing 24 wins from 27 starts incidentally.
This Thursday Chisnall meets Adrian Lewis and Betfair are going top-priced even-money about him winning the 180’s stakes.
There’s Blank Space at Hills
It’s the Grammy’s on Sunday where Taylor Swift has seven nominations and William Hill are out of line about her collecting the ‘Song of the Year’ with Blank Space.
Swift’s tune has already won the Single of the Year award at the American Music Awards and that form alone makes it a far shorter proposition than the 4/5 William Hill are offering. Throw in the fact she is booked to perform live on Grammy’s night and the line should probably be closer to 2/7.
Shoot for the Snooker Stars
Coral are the latest sponsors of Snooker’s Shoot-Out tournament which starts on Friday. Party Poker, Betfair, 888 and Betway have also had their name alongside the tournament since it was put on the calendar in 2011.
At first glance this one should be avoided like the plague. A one-frame shootout with each match lasting a maximum of ten minutes and a shot-clock of 15sec for the first five minutes of a game wound down to 10sec for the last five minutes.
To be honest I’m not certain if players still need to hit a cushion or pot a ball with every shot. It used to be the case and failure to do so resulted in a ‘ball in hand’ (the ability to move the white ball anywhere).
In either case it is still a crap shot compounded by a random draw at the conclusion of every round.
Unsurprisingly the results have been random – Nigel Bond, Barry Hawkins, Martin Gould, Dominic Dale and Michael White are the previous winners – with no player making the final more than once.
For the craic I am going to play a few at big prices while totally ignoring the market principles.
Kyren Wilson had a deep run in Germany last weekend so I’ll have him at 50’s with Sportingbet. The same company go 80’s about last year’s finalist Xiao Guodong. Given he is only 26 and capable of running around the table quickly, I’ll have some of that.
Jack Lisowski, at 24, is another youngster who can probably run a bit. He also made it through a few rounds of the UK Championships earlier in the season so Betvictor’s 100/1 will do nicely.
My final youngster is Stuart Carrington at 200/1 with Sportingbet. He’s only 25 and he plays Matthew Stevens in the opening round. Steven’s best form was 12 years ago and he has looked woeful in recent times. A 2015 divorce and bankruptcy has doubtlessly got something to do with that.
Therein I’m also playing Carrington to win this match at Bet365’s even-money.
Thursday: Dave Chisnall to score more 180’s than Adrian Lewis at 1/1 with Betfair Sports
Saturday: Stuart Carrington to beat Matthew Stevens (opening round Snooker-Shootout) at 1/1 with Bet365
Sunday: Taylor Swift/Blank Space (Song of the Year, The Grammy’s) at 4/5 with William Hill