Blog – Always Dreaming, Wawrinka & Ben Ainslee for SPOTY

Roy the Boy blog in which he is backing Always Dreaming to win the Preakness Stakes, Stan Wawrinka to win the French Open and Ben Ainslee for SPOTY.

UK facing bookmaker to pull online poker

News has reached me that a major UK facing online bookmaker is about to announce it is pulling online poker from its site.  This will be the first such move by any really familiar online bookmaker.

It is a strange call as I know online poker for them is profitable.  But it is also a whole lot of hassle and an online poker player is worth a fraction of what the average online casino punter generates.

This month represents the 15th anniversary of Ladbrokes introducing online poker and, in the process, being the first bookmaker to do so. I very much doubt any major online bookmaker will still be in the online casino business in another 15.

Europe Calling

I hope you got the cake with Italy being beaten in the Eurovision.  I laid them at 4/5 and if they had of finished outside of the top-10 I’d of cleared five-figures.  Alas they did not (they finished sixth) and I sold off my position on Italy before the conclusion putting all the profits on Bulgaria …who finished second!

Americas Cup could do it for Ainslie

Last week I put up Chris Froome at 50/1 each-way for the Sports Personality of the Year Award. I’ve had a good go through this once more and I’ve two more contenders I’m now interested in.

I’ll drop one on you next week – as he is 500/1 and that will not change any time soon – but the other that really catches the eye is Ben Ainslie.  How can this sailor, with medals from the past five Olympic Games possibly win in a non-Olympic year I hear you cry?

Well he is the helmsman of a yacht which is about to contest the Americas Cup.  It is not just any old boat either, it is one that has been designed and built in Britain.  And, despite the first Americas Cup being staged off of the Isle of Wight in 1851, no British built boat or team has ever won this race.

There’s nothing the British Sports Personality of the Year voters like more than an elitist sport and a sporting first. Furthermore, as Ainslie’s boat is a ‘Land Rover’ project, the famous British car manufacturer is sure to throw all its resources at promoting any success they get from the famous race.

Britain’s had boxing champions in the past and so a first ever America’s Cup victory could easily be enough to see 2/5 favourite Anthony Joshua and his pay-per-view TV supporters foiled.

If he can lift the cup Ainslie’s price will tumble, if he doesn’t he is mythical.  Therein we are recommending a win only play at Boyles and William Hill’s 14/1.

Stan’s the Man Apparently

I don’t get tennis, two men knocking a little ball over a net at 100mph doesn’t do it for me.  But I know a man who does and he recently spent the best part of two hours telling me why Stan Wawrinka has to be backed to win the French Open (which starts on May 29th.

I cannot recall all the details but it is something to do with Djokovic being out of form, Murray unable to beat an online qualifier right now and Warwinka being back to the kind of form which saw him claim this title in 2014 and his current World No. 3 ranking.

He’s 12/1 with two firms (Betfred and Boyles) but as low as 8/1 with others.  Each-way terms are half-the-odds for places 1-2.

Dreaming Small in Preakness

Always Dreaming, the Kentucky Derby winner, is available at even-money in this Saturday’s Preakness – the second leg of America’s Triple Crown.  It’s not a get-rich-quick kinda price but its value all the same.

Firstly the Todd Pletcher trained horse was awesome in the Derby, racing up with the pace and never looking likely to capitulate from the home turn.

Secondly ten of the last 20 Kentucky Derby winners have won the Preakness.  Of the others Animal Kingdom (2011 Derby winner), Mine That Bird (2009), Street Sense (2007), Fusaichi Pegasus (2000) all finished second.

The horses beaten in the Derby could conceivably perform better now they are off of a sloppy track (no certainty as it has been wet in Pimlico all of this week) but surely Always Dreaming would need to under-perform to lose to them.

Of those that did not compete in the Derby Cloud Computing, third in the Wood Memorial, could put up the most resistance. He has very few miles on the clock and was forced to race wide throughout in the ‘Wood’.

Recommended Bets

Sports Personality of the Year:                  Ben Ainslie               14/1 Boylesports

French Open:                                               Stan Wawrinka         12/1 Betfred

Preakness Stakes:                                       Always Dreaming    1/1  with Skybet