Blog – Always Dreaming looks Kentucky Derby Gem

Blog from Roy The Boy with bets on Kentucky Derby and Premier League Darts.

Got a Result in the Snooker

Mark Selby gave me palpitations when winning the World Championship Snooker on Monday.  I’ve had a nice touch having wadded in to him since the turn of the year but I have to say 90 minutes of football is too much for my attention span (and nerves) so this one was truly excruciating – especially as Selby came from 10-4 down to win 18-15.  On a recent visit to the Crucible I told a few pundits I was set to win as much as Selby would should he prevail – I confess that was a gross exaggeration but the summer holiday is paid for.

Now Dreaming of the Kentucky Derby

The Kentucky Derby is one of my favourite races.  I was Stateside when Thunder Gulch won the ‘Run For the Roses’ wearing Michael Tabor’s colours back in 1995.  Prior to this Tabor’s best known horse was the hurdler, Royal Derbi.  I love to reminisce, it is part of the aging process!

Two impressive big race victories under new trainer Todd Pletcher (including the Florida Derby) means Always Dreaming is my selection in a very open looking 2017 race – he may be the favourite but can be backed at 6/1 with Bet365, Boyles and Stan James – however things could change dramatically when the draw has been completed on Wednesday afternoon.

It’s been over 30 years since a Kentucky Derby winner started from stall 1 and almost 40 years since a winner was drawn in stall 2. If a berth on the rail means horses are either used up early or boxed in at the opening bend, then give the outside boxes some thought too.  There has never been a Derby winner from stall 17 (0-from-142 that is) and there has only been one winner drawn in stall 20; that was Big Brown in 2008.

We Shall Fight in the Hills

Remaining with hoses…  I’ve had some coppers on Churchill to win the 2000 Guineas after failing to unravel 1000.  The vibes were not good when Paddy Power were going a fraction of a point bigger than their rivals about the Irish-trained runner last week.

However, glad to repot I got a glowing report about him this morning and I’m happy with my 2/1 vouchers.  Powers probably got the same phone call as they have just clipped in the four-time group winning horse and are now very much in line with their rivals.

BAGS of Fun

There’s seemingly more BAGS racing than ever.  Only 10 years ago open races on a BAGS card were a rarity, odds-on shots were disparaged and two-benders were as rare as a snowflake in summer.

It’s all change now with more sprints than ever, and handicaps are really popular despite the large numbers of them which are declared void due to an individual trap opening prematurely or late.

I am, however, mystified as to why 8-dog racing is exclusive to non-Bags Towcester (some firms actually broadcast it in their shops on Saturday mornings and it is live on At The Races (SKY Channel 415).  There was once up to six 8-runner races a day at Monmore BAGS.

Those extra two runners give the bookies a better over-round and added to that they have 56 forecast combinations to offer customers as opposed to 30. I cannot be arsed to work out how many more tricasts become available – but it’s more chances for the companies to get the gravy.

No Prize no Performance?

Both Peter Wright and Michael van Gerwen have assured themselves a place in the Premier League Darts play-offs.  Therein they have little or no reason to put their best darts forwards when they play on Thursday night.

I’m not sure if this will have any bearing on their performance this week.  MVG does have four draws from his 14 Premier League 2017 games to date so maybe the 11/2 about him drawing with Phil Taylor on Thursday could be considered to be on the big side everything considered.

Recommended Bets:

Kentucky Derby                   Always Dreaming  at 11/2 with Bet365

Phil Taylor vs MVG              Draw  at 11/2 with Betway and Skybet