Roy The Boy's latest blog covers the Shanghai Masters' snooker, I'm A Celebrity Get Me Out Of Here 2016 and Daniel Ricciardo's chances in the Singapore Grand Prix against his Mercedes rivals.
Ronnie is Low on Frequent Flier Points
Ronnie O’Sullivan is a top-priced 7/2 favourite for the Shanghai Masters which gets underway on September 19th. I think his place in the market makes his rivals outstanding value because there is a very real chance he will not get on his flight to the Far East.
Ronnie does not like travelling, simple as. He has not contested any of the last four Chinese Opens, withdrawing from that competition in 2014, something he also did in 2004. O’Sullivan has also skipped three of the last four renditions of the Shanghai Masters. He was a first round casualty when he last played this competition in 2014 and withdrew from it in 2007 and 2010.
I’d love to be a layer at 7/2 but with limited liquidity on Betfair the only option is to back some of his key rivals.
At 12/1 with Coral and Boylesports, Ding Juhui is the obvious one for me. The Chinese player returned from the wilderness to march through the World Championship qualifiers at the end of last season and proceeded to the final. He won last week’s Six-Red World Championships indicating his curve is still facing upwards.
Ding also has a brilliant record in the Far East. He won this competition in 2013, was a semi-finalist in 2014 and a quarter finalist in 2015. He is also a four-time semi-finalist, a finalist and twice a winner of the China Open.
If O’Sullivan does indeed miss his plane (again), Ding’s price will collapse as he is scheduled to meet the favourite at the quarter final stage of this tournament.
Get Scarlett and the Girls in Get Me Out of Here
Scarlett Moffatt, the brightest star in Channel 4’s Gogglebox, will be taking part in this year’s I’m a Celebrity Get Me Out of Here according to the Sun newspaper.
To my mind, regardless of who is in opposition, the fake-tanned witty Geordie lass will win this in a hack-canter if she is on the plane to Australia this November. With a fitness DVD hitting the shelves around the same time (in time for the Christmas rush), and recent appearances in the likes of ‘First Dates’, her profile is huge.
She is sure to be the bookmaker’s favourite and, unlike previous ante-post favs (Jimmy White comes to mind), she not only has a personality, it is off the scale. Sadly only Bwin are betting on the event at this juncture and their market is on the sex of winner. They go 42/41 (there’s a price you don’t see every day) about a female winner and, by virtue of Moffatt being amongst that set, it’s a great bet for me.
Ricciardo to Shine in Singapore
Only once in the past twenty F1 Grand Prix races has a car other than a Mercedes been victorious and that was in Barcelona in the Spring when both cars collided with devastating consequences. The last race the team failed to collect gold as a result of lacking performance was Singapore in 2015.
I think history will repeat itself this weekend.
The mighty fast Mercedes does not like tracks like Singapore, street circuits with plenty of tight turns and no long straights. But the Red Bull of Daniel Ricciardo does. It should have won in Monaco earlier this year – a very similar circuit – and would have done if its pit crew were not stood around scratching the pneumatic wheel guns with no wheels to put on Ricciardo’s car when it pitted. Ultimately finishing second there and second in this contest last year, it’s time Ricciardo took a top podium step and while the early 5/1 about the Australian has vanished, the widely available 7/2 still represents value.