Tweener previews the weekend action in the Aviva Premiership and he has bets on Exeter, Harlequins and Wasps on the handicaps.
Exeter v Worcester
Exeter have not been themselves this season, but there have been signs in the last few weeks that their attack is finally clicking. This match against Worcester is perfect for them to continue their fine form. It should be an open attacking game, where Worcester will struggle to live with the pace of Exeter attack.
This should be a bonus point victory for Exeter. I can also this match as high scoring, so I would not put anyone off backing the over 49.5 points line, especially given the fair weather is predicted.
Worcester have some decent players in the backline and they should be able to score a try or two themselves, but they will not have enough platform to get enough of a foothold in this match. Exeter should walk away with it.
1 point win Exeter -17 points at 10/11 with Stan James
Harlequins v Bath
The reason for this bet is simple; the line up for Bath is terrible. The handicap came out at the start of the week around the -2 mark, but it has quickly dropped to -4 and might even dip to -6 by kick off because of the team sheet.
The Quins team is a lot better than expected. Yarde, Clifford and Visser are back, Clifford also comes back into the pack, the Quins backrow of Chisholm, Wallace and Clifford is a lot stronger compared to Bath.
Bath have enjoyed a very good season so far, mainly due to their new half back combination. Fotuali and Ford have been the heartbeat of this side good start to the season; they have been missing for the last few weeks and it's no coincidence that Bath have started to play poorly again in that period. They are missing again for this match. In addition, the rest of the Bath team bar Dave Attwood and Rokoduguni are a very average team. This is a must win game for Quins and given the average start to their season and I expect a comfortable win for them given the line up.
4 points win Harlequins -4 points at 10/11 with Coral, Betfred and Paddy Power
Wasps v Sale
Simply put, Wasps must react after the result last week. Given the quality of their back up, they will simply put Sale to the sword. Sale are not as good as they were last year and if they fall behind early here, I can see this being a very long afternoon ahead for them. A typical Steve Diamond team will front up away from home, put up a fight before going down in the second half. However this year, the Sale team has not even done that. Their home form isn't as good as it once was. Admittedly Cipirani has left; was his influence from 10 really that big??
The main worry for this bet is that there is a worry Wasps has a "soft belly";they are a team which lack forward power. They were outbattled up front last week which resulted in the loss; I cant see Dai Young letting the forwards be dictated to again, especially as they are playing at home in front of their home fans.
It would be disappointing for Wasps if its anything other than 5 points from this match. This handicap should be covered and I wouldn't be surprise to see a cricket score if Sale gets behind early.
3 points Wasps -12 points at 10/11 with Coral