Ceebee looks ahead to the 2019 Grand National and loves the 50/1 about Missed Approach.
Wondering what to get for Christmas for that someone special in your life? Wonder no more. The Grand National winner at 50/1. An ideal stocking filler (warning it may be a worthless gift come April but hey aren’t many of them).
Missed Approach caught my eye in the Becher Chase at Aintree last weekend. On his first start since April (poor efforts first time out the past two seasons) he wasn’t strongly fancied going off 12/1 and proceeded to miss the start giving up 10+L to his opponents. Then in what is a terribly inefficient way of racing he led before they got to the 8th fence. It was no surprise to see him runout of gas turning in but still to finish 6th beaten 20 odd lengths was highly encouraging for connections. He’ll be a far better horse in April and after getting beat may now be racing from a few lbs lower. Getting around over the unique fences is a nice positive looking ahead to the big day.
Missed Approach’s big success last season was the Kim Muir Handicap Chase at Cheltenham. A 20-runner staying handicap chase in the spring; he raced prominently and stayed on strongly at the finish – a fair enough Grand National trial you could say. Since 2010 the Kim Muir winner has featured in the top 2 of the National 3 times – Ballabriggs, Sunnyhillboy & Cause of Causes.
Tiger Roll claimed last year’s National off a mark of 150. 13mts earlier he was winning the 4miler at Cheltenham. Chasing him home at Cheltenham was Missed Approach, 3L behind in 2nd. When Missed Approach heads to Aintree in April he’ll probably race off 144 (+/- 2lbs). On a loose straight-line comparison through Tiger Roll that’ll be a very workable mark. He has handled the fences before and got 95% of the trip before. He races prominently, handles decent ground (better with cut), has spring form and big field winning handicap chase form. Ticks so many boxes.
Warren Greatex has confirmed he’s targeting the race and will be kept fresh by racing just once beforehand, after the weights are published. Given his profile I’d be amazed if he’s not around 16/1 on the day. Over 2/3’s of the field were less than 50/1 on the day last year. It’s a great value bet.
1pt e/w Missed Approach 50/1 – WilliamHill