Jimmy McGinty looks at Week 2 of the NFL in his weekly column and selects some bets of interest for the weekend and Monday night.
Week 1 recap; +5.9pts and unlucky in being just 1 score (Bears) off the 26/1 fivefold (had 4 out of 5 picks correct).
There’s a good few teams I’m eager to be with this week. Some are coming in after disappointing efforts last week (Cardinals & Titans), hoping for a bounce-back performance. Whilst others I’m taking-on are coming in off a win (Lions & Giants) that may be masking some weaknesses.
Here are my best bets for Week 2:
Tennessee Titans at Detroit Lions
I’m eager to be on the side of the Titans. They are not a very good team but for half the game last week they were better than a good Vikings team. A mini-implosion of two defensive TDs swung that game. The Lions had a dream matchup last week with their good aerial attack up against a woeful Colts secondary. They’re not ‘that good’ yet give up 6pts this week!
Andrew Luck shredded the Lions despite a bad O-Line, Titans will protect Mariota with ease and Titans should score more than once through the air. Rookie Tajae Sharp is one of the more likely.
Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings
Here I’m with the Green Bay Packers. They are quite possibly the best team in the NFL. Aaron Rodgers looked good last week, having Jordy Nelson back is a major positive for them. This week they are up against the Vikings who needed a Titans collapse and defensive TDs to win last week. Vikings are decent but with offensive problems they won’t be able to keep tabs on the Packers. Green Bay stopped the run very well last week which is key against the Vikings.
4pts on Packers -2pts @ 10/11 with Boylesports.
New Orleans Saints at New York Giants
I was with the Giants last week and whilst they won I’m eager to take them on a week later. They nearly did, and should have, lost to an injury/suspension ravaged Cowboys. The Cowboys made numerous mistakes (drops) at key moments, including the last play of the game.
Time may show that was a decent Oakland team that the Saints went down to in Week 1. If the Giants are too strong this looks like a shootout so there would be no surprise to see Brees cover a 5pt spread even if they trail by 2 scores with a few mins to go.
2pts on Saints +4.5pts @ 10/11 generally.
Indianapolis Colts at Denver Broncos
The Colts were involved in a high scoring shootout last Sunday whilst the Broncos put 21 points past a strong Carolina D. This Colts scoring was mostly down to having a rancid defence, a superb QB and a talented receiving team. There is no reason we won’t see more of the same. Broncos will run through the Colts with ease just as the Lions did last week (CJ Anderson is better than both Detroit RBs).
Baltimore Ravens at Cleveland Browns
I made a few early notes whilst watching games last Sunday. One of them was to be against the Browns next time. I wasn’t certain who or where they were playing but I wanted to be against them! They are an awful team. Rookie QB Carson Wentz looked like a pro against them – just imagine what Joe Flacco will do with all the time he needs in the pocket. The Ravens receiving duo of Smith and Perriman should improve for the game last week having missed a lot of time through injury. With a mediocre running game, I’ll be backing Flacco to air it out and get his young wide-receiver on the board.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Arizona Cardinals
Like the Titans Lions game I mentioned above, I’m siding with the 0-1 team over the 1-0 team in Week 2.
Arizona are an immensely talented team who many fancied for Super Bowl glory before the season kicked off. At home to the Bucs would’ve been seen as a stroll in the park. They probably should’ve won last week against the Patriots but for a missed field goal. Facing a Brady and Gronk-less Pats, I’d speculate that the Cardinals were complacent/overconfident. Star defender Tyrann Mathieu was poor but may have needed the game to shake off some rust after returning from a serious injury. The Bucs were actually outgained by Atlanta last week but came away with the win as Atlanta got bogged down in the Red Zone and on third downs.
Philadelphia Eagles at Chicago Bears
The final pick for Week 2 in the Monday night game is the side who let me down in week 1, the Bears.
Eagles QB Carson Wentz looked good and suddenly most people believe in the rookie. There’s a bit too much hype for my liking; it was against the Browns! The Bears put pressure on and forced turnovers from Texans QB Brock Osweiler – I’ll expect more of the same. The Bears also did a fair job in holding the Texans strong running game. Cutler is no star for Chicago either so I’d be very surprised if this is not low scoring.
Other key pointers for the Bears – the Browns ran well enough on Eagles; Langford is better then anybody on the Browns roster and as a result should move the chains consistently for Chicago. Ertz being injured is also a big loss at TE for Philadelphia.
2pts on Under 42.5pts @ 10/11 with Stan James.