Weekly Roy the Boy blog with bets on Louise Redknapp to win Strictly Come Dancing and Ryan Gosling to win Best Actor Oscar.
Some Jet-Propelled Bullshit
This week’s headline piss-take offer goes to an online sportsbook going by the name of JetBull Sports. Jet Bullshit more like! These bandits are offering a new player sign-up bonus of up to €75/£55 at a matched rate of 50 percent. In short, deposit €150 on the Jet Bullshit site and you will get €225 to bet with. Sounds good right?
But now the fun starts… Once opting-in you can withdraw no money until you fulfil JetBS’s wagering requirements which are: ‘Wager your qualifying deposit amount of €150 and also bonus funds of €75 (€225 total) 20 times before a withdrawable sum is placed in a player’s main balance’. So, you need to place €4,500 in bets.
But wait, there’s more… Your bets must be on selections priced even-money or greater, the maximum qualifying stake is €50 (90 bets in total are therefore required) and you have 30 days to complete this criteria.
Oops, nearly forgot… You cannot use bets on horseracing towards your qualifying turnover, you cannot win more than €3,000. If you do manage to be in front beyond 90 bets of €50 and you would like to cash-out, you may be charged a 5% withdrawal fee by Jet Bullshit Sports!
La La a Shortie
We are already on Kenneth Lonergan at 4/1 for the ‘Best Director’ at the Oscars. It’s a market headed by Damien Chazelle (as short as 2/7) and his film ‘La La Land’. That flick is 4/6 to get ‘Best Film’ and its leading actress, Emma Stone, is 11/10 to win the ‘Best Actress’ Oscar.
Given that series of ‘shorties’ surely the leading actor in La La Land, Ryan Gosling, has to represent some value at 10/1 for the ‘Best Actor’ Oscar? The price certainly makes him worthy of an interest.
Ladbrokes extracting the Max on Verstappen 2/5 Champ Price
It’s that time of the year when the bookmakers throw out all sorts of long-range markets for happenings in the 12 months ahead and sometimes a little longer.
Ladbrokes have one such long-term market on the achievements of F1 driver Max Verstappen. For the most part they are utter nonsense and you would need fitting with a canvas cardigan if you were to consider backing him at even-money to win four or more F1 Driver’s Championship titles during his career.
Another mug-bet is their 2/5 quote about him becoming the youngest ever Driver’s World Champion. Sebastian Vettel currently holds that mantle, aged 23-years and 133 days. Verstappen turned 19 at the end of September so time is on his side but is he really 2/5 to claim the title within the next four years? Never.
Firstly to get the job done he needs to get into the fastest car and secondly he has to conclusively prove his ability. So far Verstappen has made some outrageous overtaking and defending manoeuvres and he is clearly hyper-fast but he has not proven he is a better all-round driver than his current teammate, Daniel Ricciardo.
In the second half of the 2016 season Ricciardo claimed seven podium finishes (from 11 races) including a race win. Verstappen on the other hand notched-up just four podium finishes. Both finished runner-up exactly twice during this period incidentally.
If only Ladbrokes would give me some 9/4 about Verstappen NOT becoming a World Champion this side of 2020 and, as for next year, the Dutchman will probably be subject of team-mate vs team-mate match bets at completely incorrect prices if the current trend of over-rating ‘Action Max’ continues.
WAG’s the value in SCD
About 12 million people will be watching the conclusion of Strictly Come Dancing, something I will never understand, and it looks like a close-run affair with Hollyoaks actor Danny Mac just shading Louise Redknapp in the betting.
The stats tell me Redknapp is the value. She is 6/4 to follow the dance-steps of Abbey Clancy who was the last footballer’s wife to win the award back in 2013.
This Week’s Best Bets
Best Actor Oscar Ryan Gosling 10/1 Betfred
Strictly Come Dancing Louise Redknapp 6/4 Paddy Power