Winter Olympics – Country medal predictions

Roy The Boy looks at the Winter Olympics and he has bets on a number of nation's total medal count.

Paddy now have every track covered

Good news if you are a Paddy Power greyhound punter.  The firm, with 631 shops in the UK and Ireland, has now signed up to BAGS (Bookmakers Afternoon Greyhound Service) which means their customers can now watch live action from 12 greyhound tracks: Belle Vue, Kinsley, Newcastle, Nottingham, Perry Barr, Peterborough, Poole, Sheffield, Sunderland, Swindon, Towcester and Yarmouth.

In addition to those tracks Power’s also cover meetings broadcast by rivals SIS, who supply the action from:  Crayford, Central Park, Monmore, Henlow, Hove, Romford, Doncaster and Harlow.  Plus they supply pictures from Irish flaps Tralee, Youghall and Mullingar.

SIS’ website now boasts to its bookmaking customers: “With 80,000 betting events each year there will be a betting opportunity for your customers every 3 minutes throughout the day”.  Little wonder a layman walking into a UK betting shop to pass by a spare twenty minutes has absolutely no chance!

Unique Bet

Fair play to Unibet, the game’s biggest up and coming bookmakers have issued prices on no less than 1,628 Winter Olympic betting markets. Seemingly all of the 102 events in seven sports encompassing 15 different disciplines are covered.

I’m not sure how many odds compilers the Scandinavian company have used to devise these markets and make their lines but, according to Gracenote (a much respected Neilson company who use an untold amount of data to make predictions), some of their prices on ‘country medals’ won, are all to cock.

While the correct prices may lay somewhere between Unibet’s opinions and those of this authority site, in the instances where the price discrepancies are great, I’d be inclined to play.

Therefore, as Norway is projected to win a Winter Olympic record 41 medals, we like the even-money about them taking home 35.5+.  Similarly Switzerland is projected to win 16 medals, 1.65 is available about them netting 11.5+.

Going Under

Despite Gracenote predicting 11 golds, 6 silvers and 12 bronze for the USA – I love the even-money about under Unibet’s line of 29.5 total medals.

Team USA has won at least 25 total medals since hosting the 2002 Salt Lake City Winter Olympics and is predicted to continue this run with medals in a record 11 different sports.  By my reckoning  women will claim all but two of the Americas gold medals and over 70 percent of their total haul (not bad given only 43 percent of competitions are for women only).

But I have concerns about Lindsey Vonn over trying (she has form for this) and snowboarder Lindsey Jacobellis would come complete with a visor, cheekpieces and a Timeform squiggle if she were a racehorse.

Snowboarding and Freestyle skiing has always proven difficult to predict and as many of the USA’s medal hopes are pinned on it – combined those sports gave the USA 12 of their 28 medals in Sochi – I’m inclined to go on the low side of the 29.5 line.

Recommended Bets – all with Unibet

Norway to win 35.5+ medals                      even-money

Switzerland to win 11.5 medals                1.65

USA to win under 29.5 medals                 even-money

 

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